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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xdd1d…bbf0 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-97%
historical realized
Win rate
3.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$59.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -97% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
31
Distinct markets
14
Volume (90d)
$182.4K
avg $5,884 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$88.3K / $94.1K
net direction
Recent trades
last 31 · 90d windowMarkets active in
14 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | Tech | 6 | $40.6K | $-40,599 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 6 | $39.3K | +$39.3K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Tech | 3 | $31.0K | $-10,957 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Other | 1 | $18.9K | +$18.9K |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Politics | 1 | $16.5K | $-16,462 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Tech | 5 | $13.7K | $-13,672 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Other | 2 | $6,260 | +$6,260 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Other | 1 | $5,700 | +$5,700 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Tech | 1 | $2,419 | $-2,419 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Other | 1 | $2,000 | +$2,000 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Other | 1 | $1,800 | +$1,800 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | Other | 1 | $1,690 | +$1,690 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Tech | 1 | $1,426 | +$1,426 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | Other | 1 | $1,200 | +$1,200 |