| Jul 16, 01:15 AM | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.748 | $2,449 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 03:08 PM | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.754 | $2,207 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 01:32 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.936 | $11.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 12:41 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.489 | $1,000 | —— |
| Jul 14, 12:38 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.900 | $6,577 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 12:28 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.713 | $1,289 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 05:16 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.648 | $3,396 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 02:07 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.795 | $4,026 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 08:11 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $1,560 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 02:54 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.850 | $4,512 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 9, 01:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $4,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 06:15 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.360 | $1,447 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 06:15 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.405 | $1,730 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 12:08 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $4,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 05:02 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.840 | $2,453 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 05:42 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.650 | $2,724 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 01:25 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $3,520 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 01:25 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.650 | $2,724 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 01:06 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.640 | $2,376 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 01:01 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.860 | $7,803 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 12:55 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.650 | $2,414 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:48 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.860 | $8,121 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 12:30 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $15.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 12:22 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.800 | $7,822 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 07:57 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.790 | $8,040 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 01:31 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $1,525 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 01:30 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $7,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 05:40 PM | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? | SELL YES | 0.689 | $1,349 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 07:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.800 | $6,400 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 12:24 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $13.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 12:23 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.800 | $6,788 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 01:09 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.800 | $7,655 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 07:40 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $7,020 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 06:26 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.799 | $5,540 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 06:04 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL NO | 0.646 | $1,536 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 12:23 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $1,551 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 25, 12:21 AM | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.226 | $1,622 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 04:35 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.530 | $1,676 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 02:25 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.755 | $2,544 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 02:24 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $2,576 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 02:24 PM | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY NO | 0.755 | $2,691 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 02:23 PM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $2,720 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 02:22 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $4,571 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:01 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $2,640 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 12:46 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.857 | $1,354 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 11:45 AM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.854 | $1,322 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 11:35 AM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.598 | $4,312 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 11:33 AM | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.495 | $4,818 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 11:33 AM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.620 | $1,951 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:26 PM | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.450 | $4,389 | —— |
| Jun 11, 06:20 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $3,257 | —— |
| Jun 10, 12:44 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.445 | $3,617 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 12:34 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.450 | $2,645 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 12:30 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.470 | $7,281 | —— |
| Jun 9, 05:16 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.840 | $3,061 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 02:13 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.815 | $3,987 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:54 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.827 | $1,422 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 12:35 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.836 | $1,069 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:11 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.846 | $1,310 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:47 AM | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.836 | $1,128 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 12:06 PM | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.398 | $1,440 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 08:21 PM | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.400 | $1,208 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 27, 08:19 PM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $1,820 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 05:12 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.853 | $1,215 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:43 AM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.673 | $1,452 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:27 PM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $1,570 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 04:24 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.858 | $1,003 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 09:19 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.864 | $1,541 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 05:18 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.871 | $1,310 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 12:41 PM | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.872 | $1,025 | — (SELL) |