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AV23IUa

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xdb85…152f with our methodology badges per row.

0xdb859a551fcf56e49416160911476bea7307152f·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
79
lifetime
PnL per $
+14%
historical realized
Win rate
66.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$2.33M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
117
Distinct markets
89
Volume (90d)
$2.64M
avg $22.6K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$2.56M / $84.1K
net direction

Recent trades

last 117 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 03:56 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.427$140.2K
Jul 19, 06:18 AMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.930$12.5K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 04:21 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.520$69.2K
Jul 17, 09:19 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.510$67.7K
Jul 15, 06:50 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.371$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 12:49 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.300$60.0KConviction tier
Jul 12, 12:26 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.155$15.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 10:27 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.650$86.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:26 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.362$34.5K— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:11 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.213$5,776Conviction tier
Jul 11, 08:09 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.525$50.0K
Jul 10, 06:19 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.598$40.5K
Jul 10, 02:50 AMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.598$127.4K
Jul 9, 06:37 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.613$90.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:19 PMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY NO0.511$3,395
Jul 7, 11:42 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.730$12.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 11:42 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.730$90.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:24 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.102$5,658Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 12:17 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.395$30.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 11:40 PMWill United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.370$50.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:52 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.240$10.0KConviction tier
Jul 6, 02:03 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.586$175.9K
Jul 5, 06:51 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$50.0K
Jul 4, 09:00 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.820$100.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:45 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.530$100.0K
Jul 3, 05:57 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.390$20.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 03:01 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.490$30.0K
Jul 3, 01:04 AMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.448$5,000
Jul 3, 12:49 AMWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.098$2,420Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 10:24 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.575$34.5K
Jul 2, 12:25 AMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.110$14.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 08:28 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?SELL YES0.240$12.7K— (SELL)
Jul 1, 07:54 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.510$26.9K
Jul 1, 05:00 PMWill England win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.420$10,000
Jun 30, 11:49 PMWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY YES0.340$6,800Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 01:59 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.268$3,516Conviction tier
Jun 30, 01:59 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.260$8,994Conviction tier
Jun 30, 01:59 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.260$7,490Conviction tier
Jun 30, 12:55 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.290$14.5KConviction tier
Jun 29, 11:08 PMWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$7,344— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:38 PMWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY YES0.354$10.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 04:44 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.550$15.0K
Jun 29, 02:44 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.580$19.8K
Jun 28, 04:46 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY YES0.560$35.8K
Jun 28, 01:35 AMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.270$13.6KConviction tier
Jun 28, 12:21 AMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.570$10,000
Jun 27, 11:59 PMColombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.526$5,000
Jun 27, 11:55 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.280$10,000Conviction tier
Jun 27, 08:55 PMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.170$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 09:59 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.600$30.0K
Jun 26, 04:08 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.640$25.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 10:23 PMWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.210$6,300Conviction tier
Jun 25, 12:11 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.213$2,000Conviction tier
Jun 25, 12:10 PMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.260$2,000Conviction tier
Jun 25, 12:10 PMWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.230$2,000Conviction tier
Jun 24, 11:10 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.650$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 02:44 PMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.610$16.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 02:42 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.400$10.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 03:15 AMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.087$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 12:22 AMWill Panama win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.041$2,874
Jun 23, 11:37 PMWill Panama win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.174$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 11:34 PMWill Panama win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.150$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 09:01 PMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.060$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 11:08 AMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.050$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 10:25 PMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.640$32.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 10:25 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.320$9,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 02:57 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.660$33.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 12:54 AMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.170$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 11:52 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.305$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 11:40 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.472$10,000
Jun 21, 06:09 PMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.110$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:41 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.126$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:41 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.060$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:07 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.300$10,000Conviction tier
Jun 20, 08:19 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.600$18.0K
Jun 20, 06:19 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.680$54.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 12:10 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.580$20.0K
Jun 13, 12:08 PMWill Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?BUY YES0.428$10,000
Jun 12, 06:34 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.200$5,000Conviction tier
Jun 12, 01:42 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.380$50.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 10:40 PMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.380$20.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 06:48 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.690$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 01:05 AMWill Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw?BUY YES0.337$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 04:58 PMWill Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY YES0.285$4,953Conviction tier
Jun 7, 04:58 PMWill Greece vs. Italy end in a draw?BUY YES0.291$4,510Conviction tier
Jun 6, 11:14 PM0xa2490188BUY YES0.690$1,444Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 09:56 PM0xa2490188BUY YES0.770$9,881Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 02:12 AM0x1c0c7caeBUY YES0.178$1,720Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 2, 12:33 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.085$4,620— (SELL)
Jun 1, 03:48 AM0xb2677dadSELL YES0.999$3,568— (SELL)
May 31, 11:50 PM0x5804fbfeSELL YES0.999$2,248— (SELL)
May 31, 09:39 PM0xbe7dc4c3BUY NO0.679$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 06:35 PM0xa00ea53eBUY YES0.280$1,500Conviction tier
May 30, 07:06 PM0x304ecf5dBUY YES0.474$5,000
May 30, 06:07 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.484$2,500
May 30, 01:27 PM0x5dc96d5bBUY YES0.330$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 27, 03:32 AM0x5c5ecf33BUY YES0.297$5,000Conviction tier
May 26, 11:16 AMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.092$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 06:22 PM0x8016f42bBUY YES0.550$8,683
May 24, 06:22 PM0x8016f42bBUY YES0.541$6,317
May 24, 06:21 PM0xdac42d33BUY YES0.213$5,000Conviction tier
May 24, 06:20 PM0x97cad298BUY YES0.103$3,639Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 06:20 PM0x97cad298BUY YES0.097$1,361Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 03:04 PM0xe7e6ba9eBUY YES0.282$5,000Conviction tier
May 24, 03:04 PM0xd7fe408cBUY YES0.468$10,000
May 24, 03:03 PM0xf3c9e1fcBUY YES0.491$10,000
May 24, 03:03 PM0xbd1f142fBUY YES0.554$10,000
May 24, 03:03 PM0x46ba5785BUY YES0.513$10.0K
May 24, 03:03 PM0xee512df0BUY YES0.575$3,589
May 24, 12:01 AM0x94706f9bBUY YES0.640$3,193Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:00 AM0xe892de9dSELL YES0.990$6,612— (SELL)
May 23, 09:48 PM0xe892de9dBUY YES0.449$3,000
May 23, 05:39 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.707$80.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 03:07 PM0x3f83a2ccBUY YES0.469$25.0K
May 22, 09:46 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.752$62.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 09:46 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.740$37.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:29 PM0x0f840b13BUY YES0.600$20.0K

Markets active in

89 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?Other3$180.0K+$180.0K
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Other1$175.9K+$175.9K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Other3$171.1K+$102.1K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech2$167.9K+$167.9K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Tech1$140.2K+$140.2K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other2$136.9K+$136.9K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Other2$102.2K+$102.2K
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Other1$100.0K+$100.0K
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Other1$100.0K+$100.0K
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Other1$90.0K+$90.0K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Other3$82.4K+$82.4K
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Other2$70.0K+$70.0K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Tech1$60.0K+$60.0K
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Other1$50.0K+$50.0K
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other1$50.0K+$50.0K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Other1$50.0K+$50.0K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Other2$39.5K+$14.2K
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Other2$39.5K+$39.5K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Other1$35.8K+$35.8K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Other2$35.7K+$35.7K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Other2$34.8K+$34.8K
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Other1$33.0K+$33.0K
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Other1$32.0K+$32.0K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Other1$30.0K+$30.0K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Tech1$30.0K+$30.0K
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Other1$25.0K+$25.0K
0x3f83a2cc1$25.0K+$25.0K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Other3$20.0K+$20.0K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K

Showing top 30 by volume.