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JustHereWaiting

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd923…f400 with our methodology badges per row.

0xd923b58e7874de549b0b9bd07db49eeb2878f400·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
16
lifetime
PnL per $
-38%
historical realized
Win rate
58.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$67.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 16 resolved trades · -38% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
23
Distinct markets
15
Volume (90d)
$91.0K
avg $3,957 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$52.8K / $38.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 23 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 16, 10:28 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.958$20.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:32 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.880$3,520— (SELL)
Jul 13, 12:25 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL NO0.996$2,789— (SELL)
Jul 9, 12:45 PMWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?BUY NO0.929$1,316Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 02:17 PMWill Graham Platner drop out by July 10?BUY YES0.844$1,160Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:10 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY NO0.820$3,586Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:46 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.999$15.0K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 01:21 PMWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?BUY NO0.948$4,963Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 01:36 PMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.640$1,091Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:21 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL NO0.993$2,479— (SELL)
Jun 24, 06:17 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.962$4,429Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 06:17 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY NO0.961$1,922Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 01:09 PM0x0e2e5c01SELL NO0.994$2,982— (SELL)
Jun 8, 01:09 PM0xac084d65SELL YES0.993$2,482— (SELL)
Jun 4, 12:14 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.997$4,985Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:39 AMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL NO0.870$2,126— (SELL)
May 28, 03:35 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.790$2,370Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 05:38 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.140$1,194— (SELL)
May 25, 12:08 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.967$1,064— (SELL)
May 25, 11:59 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?SELL YES0.998$4,591— (SELL)
May 24, 12:54 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.910$1,274Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:06 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY YES0.870$3,480Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 09:17 PMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY NO0.946$2,160Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

15 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tech4$23.8K$-11,094
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance2$23.6K+$16.6K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Other2$8,070$-1,111
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Other2$6,279+$6,279
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto1$4,985+$4,985
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics2$4,496+$244
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Other1$3,586+$3,586
0x0e2e5c01—1$2,982$-2,982
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Tech1$2,789$-2,789
0xac084d65—1$2,482$-2,482
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Tech2$2,338+$210
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Other1$2,160+$2,160
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other1$1,194$-1,194
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Other1$1,160+$1,160
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics1$1,091+$1,091