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Da-Joker

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd905…ad7c with our methodology badges per row.

0xd905e9d1f8e8848b9aa1d5383a6efb573c6dad7c·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
14
lifetime
PnL per $
-22%
historical realized
Win rate
74.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$43.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · -22% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
30
Distinct markets
25
Volume (90d)
$180.6K
avg $6,020 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$169.5K / $11.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 30 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 02:23 PMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?BUY NO0.996$2,578Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 02:37 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.920$11.0K— (SELL)
Jul 11, 03:35 PMWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.995$1,532Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 03:35 PMWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?BUY YES0.999$2,252Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 01:29 AMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY YES0.920$4,614Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 12:59 AMWill "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 19m?BUY NO0.968$1,225Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 09:57 PMIran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY NO0.813$2,045Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 09:36 PMWill Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY YES0.993$1,981Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 10:16 PMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$4,225Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 10:15 PMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$2,611Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 07:07 PM0x4bab360aBUY NO0.997$7,148Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 11:49 PMClaude 4.8 released by June 15?BUY YES0.967$1,126Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 11:47 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY YES0.996$14.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 08:22 PM0x99a0fdc1BUY YES0.967$2,542Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 08:15 PM0x4ba34832BUY NO0.994$3,328Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 07:48 PM0x9d5bcba0BUY YES0.998$4,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 01:29 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?BUY NO0.998$20.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:24 PM0x9d5bcba0BUY YES0.994$1,304Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:43 PM0x0ae8b3f1BUY YES0.978$1,445Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 01:54 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?BUY YES0.997$19.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:07 AM0xaa145cf5BUY NO0.992$12.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 04:18 PMGemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY YES0.989$1,264Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 01:36 PMGemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY YES0.988$1,772Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 12:57 PMGemini 3.5 released by June 30?BUY YES0.980$3,709Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 04:30 AMGemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY YES0.957$3,161Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 04:29 AMGemini 3.5 released by June 30?BUY YES0.956$1,470Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:52 AM0xf9b28426BUY NO0.998$1,608Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 01:25 AMGemini 3.5 released by July 31?BUY YES0.959$2,550Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 01:24 AM0xaa145cf5BUY NO0.989$3,499Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 03:04 AMWill Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY NO0.999$37.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

25 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Other1$37.3K+$37.3K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Other1$20.5K+$20.5K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Other1$19.9K+$19.9K
0xaa145cf5—2$16.4K+$16.4K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Other1$14.9K+$14.9K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance1$11.0K$-11,040
0x4bab360a—1$7,148+$7,148
0x9d5bcba0—2$6,294+$6,294
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Other3$6,197+$6,197
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Other2$5,179+$5,179
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech1$4,614+$4,614
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?Politics1$4,225+$4,225
0x4ba34832—1$3,328+$3,328
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?Politics1$2,611+$2,611
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?Other1$2,578+$2,578
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Other1$2,550+$2,550
0x99a0fdc1—1$2,542+$2,542
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Tech1$2,252+$2,252
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Tech1$2,045+$2,045
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics1$1,981+$1,981
0xf9b28426—1$1,608+$1,608
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Tech1$1,532+$1,532
0x0ae8b3f1—1$1,445+$1,445
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 19m?Other1$1,225+$1,225
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Other1$1,126+$1,126