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angelat0

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd849…6ac7 with our methodology badges per row.

0xd84949634cf9aac74cab066cb978ac33ac676ac7·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
88
lifetime
PnL per $
-11%
historical realized
Win rate
73.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$654.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 88 resolved trades · -11% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
113
Distinct markets
46
Volume (90d)
$819.0K
avg $7,247 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$700.0K / $119.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 113 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 06:02 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.928$21.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 06:43 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.939$1,010Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 06:42 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.940$18.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 06:42 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.938$1,014Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 06:41 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.938$7,178Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 11:18 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.927$2,900Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:31 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.942$38.9K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 01:11 PMWill Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-19?SELL NO0.999$8,025— (SELL)
Jul 19, 04:33 AMWill Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-19?BUY NO0.822$6,091Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:28 AMWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.610$1,220Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:27 AMWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.610$2,317Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:14 AMWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.610$1,806Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:14 AMWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.610$3,499Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:04 AMWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.600$1,440
Jul 19, 04:04 AMWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.600$1,198
Jul 19, 03:53 AMWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.600$1,492
Jul 19, 03:39 AMWill FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.597$6,206
Jul 18, 11:07 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?SELL YES0.999$34.7K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:13 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.893$31.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:56 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.630$4,432Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:41 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.650$13.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:23 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.640$7,262Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 03:06 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.670$8,182Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 09:45 AMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.670$6,703Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 10:01 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.540$5,100
Jul 7, 11:12 PMWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.791$2,548Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 11:10 PMWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.772$2,775Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 10:53 PMWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.793$5,102Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:00 PMWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.909$2,273Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:42 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.540$4,244
Jul 7, 08:41 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.540$2,700
Jul 7, 08:40 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.530$1,708
Jul 7, 09:53 AMWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.900$2,230Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 01:13 AMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY NO0.592$2,960
Jul 6, 11:40 PMWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.897$2,405Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:19 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY NO0.790$1,580Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:10 PMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY NO0.683$1,025Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 03:10 PMWill Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.490$2,450
Jul 6, 02:54 PMWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.640$9,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 11:49 AMWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.860$1,720Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 10:53 AMWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.660$6,600Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:29 AMWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.636$2,401Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 08:39 AMExact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?BUY NO0.950$14.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 08:26 AMWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY YES0.590$2,997
Jul 5, 08:21 AMWill Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.510$3,064
Jul 4, 06:07 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.840$17.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 06:05 PMWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.833$3,538Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:50 AMWill Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.510$9,355
Jul 3, 08:26 AMWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.830$3,735Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:25 AMWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.780$11.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:21 AMWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.766$20.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 07:16 AMWill Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.900$12.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:01 PMWill Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.927$1,376Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:49 AMWill Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.940$17.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:43 AMWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.848$7,056Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 01:22 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.850$2,560Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 01:22 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.850$17.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 08:08 AMWill Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.895$7,346Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 06:27 AMWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.830$2,867Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 06:27 AMWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.830$4,150Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 06:20 AMWill Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.886$3,319Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 06:09 AMWill Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.877$6,906Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:32 PMWill Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.807$2,127Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 07:31 PMWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.690$1,095Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 01:56 PMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.830$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:59 AMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.840$4,405Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:36 AMWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.670$1,057Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:36 AMWill France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.659$12.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 05:21 AMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.880$1,284Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:17 PMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.940$13.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:17 PMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.890$1,780Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:17 PMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.890$14.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:16 PMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.880$6,027Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:13 PMWill Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.899$9,629Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 09:18 PMWill South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.788$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 03:38 PMWill Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL NO0.856$5,311— (SELL)
Jun 26, 01:37 AMWill Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.879$5,064Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 10:18 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.890$9,640Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 05:23 AMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.839$8,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:02 PMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.890$8,445Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:25 AMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.900$2,498Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:19 AMWill New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.937$14.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 06:47 PMWill England win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.840$4,980Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 06:41 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?SELL YES0.999$4,990— (SELL)
Jun 23, 04:37 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.860$3,356Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 06:30 PMWill France win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.910$2,735Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 01:05 AMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.850$4,845Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 01:04 AMWill Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?SELL YES0.999$5,667— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:18 PMWill Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY YES0.787$2,687Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 10:17 PMStarmer out by June 22, 2026?SELL NO0.181$2,797— (SELL)
Jun 21, 09:20 PMWill Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY YES0.862$1,947Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 06:45 PMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.900$1,759Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:34 PMWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.920$3,680Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:14 PMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.750$11.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 08:42 AMWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.870$8,700Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 07:09 AMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.800$4,008Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 05:44 AMWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.880$2,331Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 07:23 PMWill England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.777$7,838Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 07:23 PMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.800$10.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 05:21 PMWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.880$3,960Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:51 PMWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.870$1,556Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 03:15 PMWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.885$16.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 03:11 PMWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.871$30.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 07:17 PM0x9eaadf49BUY NO0.774$3,065Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 07:16 PM0x739e7561BUY YES0.773$1,326Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 05:23 PM0x739e7561BUY YES0.778$8,961Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 5, 05:22 PM0x739e7561BUY YES0.773$14.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 08:29 AM0x1d50ef99BUY NO0.720$20.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 03:11 PM0x6e9f90a6BUY YES0.580$12.4K
May 28, 03:09 PM0x739e7561SELL NO0.646$12.7K— (SELL)
May 25, 07:22 AMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL NO0.573$5,813— (SELL)
May 19, 08:08 PMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY NO0.872$6,773Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:07 PMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY NO0.871$2,015Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

46 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance10$116.6K+$38.7K
Will England win on 2026-07-18?Other2$65.8K$-3,684
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other7$40.3K+$40.3K
0x739e75614$37.4K+$12.0K
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$34.6K+$34.6K
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech4$31.8K+$31.8K
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$31.7K+$31.7K
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other6$28.6K+$28.6K
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other6$21.7K+$21.7K
0x1d50ef991$20.5K+$20.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Other2$20.4K+$20.4K
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other3$20.0K+$9,381
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?Other8$19.2K+$19.2K
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$19.2K+$19.2K
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$18.6K+$18.6K
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other6$17.3K+$17.3K
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Other1$17.0K+$17.0K
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech3$14.9K+$14.9K
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports3$14.6K+$2,974
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$14.5K+$14.5K
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?Other1$14.4K+$14.4K
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$14.4K+$14.4K
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-19?Other2$14.1K$-1,934
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Other1$13.2K+$13.2K
Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$12.6K+$12.6K
0x6e9f90a61$12.4K+$12.4K
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Other1$11.3K+$11.3K
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$10.7K+$10.7K
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?Other3$10.3K$-1,033
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K

Showing top 30 by volume.