| Jul 19, 06:48 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $2,188 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 06:47 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $29.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 10:12 AM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $91.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 06:26 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $4,590 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 08:27 PM | Harry Kane: 1+ shots | BUY YES | 0.969 | $1,032 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 07:02 PM | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,121 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 06:42 PM | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $3,066 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 06:42 PM | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.987 | $1,521 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 07:22 AM | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $15.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 08:57 PM | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots | BUY YES | 0.800 | $2,574 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 05:02 PM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.942 | $12.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 05:00 PM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL YES | 0.885 | $6,346 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 02:09 PM | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $3,911 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 09:18 PM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL YES | 0.900 | $3,991 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 07:28 PM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL YES | 0.890 | $2,038 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 07:21 PM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL YES | 0.800 | $1,541 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 09:17 AM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.951 | $7,360 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 04:57 AM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY YES | 0.882 | $12.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 04:48 AM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.944 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 04:46 AM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.938 | $27.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 04:45 AM | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.968 | $6,848 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 04:45 AM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY YES | 0.583 | $1,244 | —— |
| Jul 12, 04:44 AM | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.317 | $1,509 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 11, 07:40 PM | Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $3,134 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 08:18 PM | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | SELL NO | 0.770 | $1,457 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 07:26 PM | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $1,457 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 06:05 PM | Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $74.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 02:24 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $17.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 5, 04:46 PM | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $6,723 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 10:52 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $86.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 06:03 AM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.560 | $1,302 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 08:46 PM | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.490 | $1,860 | —— |
| Jun 26, 12:20 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $9,413 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 12:20 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $7,634 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 10:01 AM | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.956 | $29.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 01:39 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $9,449 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 11:00 AM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $4,187 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:26 AM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.915 | $20.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 04:10 PM | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $4,161 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:01 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $6,821 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 06:06 PM | 0x45c18bb1 | BUY YES | 0.935 | $1,188 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 01:22 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.936 | $2,556 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 01:10 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.933 | $16.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 01:12 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $12.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 09:38 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $12.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 08:44 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $18.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 08:34 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $41.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 09:07 PM | 0x1a68c8ec | SELL YES | 0.999 | $5,666 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 08:50 PM | 0x1a68c8ec | BUY YES | 0.989 | $4,513 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 08:50 PM | 0x1a68c8ec | BUY YES | 0.984 | $1,707 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 01:08 PM | 0x1a68c8ec | BUY YES | 0.928 | $1,090 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 09:18 PM | 0x1a68c8ec | BUY YES | 0.930 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 09:11 PM | 0x1a68c8ec | BUY YES | 0.920 | $1,775 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 09:22 AM | 0x03c90333 | SELL NO | 0.867 | $1,283 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 08:05 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $14.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 07:26 PM | 0xa93b28a6 | BUY YES | 0.999 | $199.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |