| Jul 16, 12:02 PM | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY YES | 0.340 | $2,770 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 04:13 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.650 | $4,812 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:55 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.640 | $9,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:53 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.630 | $2,457 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:39 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.610 | $4,121 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 03:33 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.620 | $2,131 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:22 PM | 0x6114a8a3 | BUY NO | 0.660 | $2,640 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:35 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.230 | $1,580 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 10, 10:06 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.230 | $1,254 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 10, 09:43 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.200 | $2,458 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| Jun 7, 08:48 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $2,163 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:04 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.695 | $3,375 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:03 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.740 | $2,589 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:10 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $2,492 | —— |
| Jun 7, 07:07 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.621 | $1,629 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:03 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.744 | $1,190 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:03 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.753 | $1,823 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:03 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.756 | $1,231 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:03 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.741 | $1,095 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:03 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.723 | $2,607 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:03 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.683 | $2,171 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 06:51 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.396 | $3,796 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 7, 06:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.396 | $1,649 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 28, 04:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $2,225 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 02:29 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY YES | 0.375 | $1,393 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 28, 02:28 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,735 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 02:27 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $4,398 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 10:05 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $13.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 10:57 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.031 | $4,217 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:56 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.364 | $2,284 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.559 | $6,710 | —— |
| May 23, 06:38 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $2,089 | —— |
| May 23, 06:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.560 | $2,470 | —— |
| May 23, 06:23 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.550 | $1,076 | —— |
| May 23, 06:23 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.547 | $2,340 | —— |
| May 23, 06:22 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $1,289 | —— |
| May 23, 06:21 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $1,200 | —— |
| May 23, 06:21 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $2,700 | —— |
| May 23, 06:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.510 | $2,480 | —— |
| May 23, 06:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.499 | $2,855 | —— |
| May 23, 06:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.490 | $1,014 | —— |
| May 23, 06:13 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.150 | $7,164 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:12 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.160 | $2,914 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:12 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.415 | $1,876 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:12 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.170 | $1,140 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:11 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.181 | $1,208 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:08 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.190 | $10.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:07 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.200 | $2,241 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 10:32 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $6,715 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 10:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $5,599 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 08:19 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.290 | $14.5K | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 13, 01:24 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.280 | $2,549 | 🟢Conviction tier |
| May 11, 07:24 PM | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY NO | 0.637 | $14.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 06:49 PM | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.975 | $2,982 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 06:49 PM | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $41.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 03:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.708 | $5,668 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 12:55 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $24.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 12:55 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL YES | 0.180 | $5,400 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 12:54 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.810 | $24.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 12:54 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.190 | $5,700 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |