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looloo8855

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd3e7…ea94 with our methodology badges per row.

0xd3e744fddde2d63588636434a1ce9b1dee3aea94·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
93
lifetime
PnL per $
-35%
historical realized
Win rate
30.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$927.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 93 resolved trades · -35% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
101
Distinct markets
69
Volume (90d)
$946.0K
avg $9,366 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$571.9K / $374.1K
net direction

Recent trades

last 101 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 10:04 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.999$44.2K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:12 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.080$2,175Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 08:03 PMLamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.235$2,404Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 05:56 PMExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY YES0.080$4,960Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 05:50 PMLamine Yamal: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.052$3,664Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:32 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?SELL YES0.252$25.0K— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:30 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.170$10.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 08:58 PMExact Score: France 3 - 1 England?BUY YES0.097$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 08:57 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.570$50.7K
Jul 18, 08:54 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?SELL YES0.209$3,055— (SELL)
Jul 18, 08:54 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?SELL YES0.210$13.7K— (SELL)
Jul 17, 01:31 AMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.250$20.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 17, 01:29 AMExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.160$4,800Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 17, 01:29 AMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.100$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 17, 01:28 AMExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?BUY YES0.080$4,800Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 17, 01:28 AMExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY YES0.120$4,800Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:10 PMHarry Kane: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.390$2,194Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 05:53 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.362$14.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 05:47 PMExact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.041$4,642
Jul 14, 09:15 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.572$3,780— (SELL)
Jul 14, 09:02 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?SELL YES0.998$49.9K— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:37 PMExact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?SELL YES0.078$1,998— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:30 PMExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?SELL YES0.147$1,268— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:01 PMExact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?BUY YES0.059$1,443Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:11 PMExact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?BUY YES0.032$3,840
Jul 14, 06:10 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.300$15.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 06:07 PMExact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?BUY YES0.070$5,001Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:05 PMExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?BUY YES0.090$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:05 PMExact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?BUY YES0.160$4,992Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:04 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?BUY YES0.261$3,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 12, 02:04 AMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?BUY YES0.099$1,262Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:04 AMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?BUY YES0.090$1,738Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:02 AMLionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.347$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 12:57 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.563$20.2K
Jul 12, 12:56 AMLionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.530$9,821
Jul 12, 12:56 AMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?BUY YES0.069$4,948Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 12:55 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?BUY YES0.116$4,823Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 09:53 PMJude Bellingham: 1+ goalsSELL YES0.999$10.7K— (SELL)
Jul 11, 08:57 PMExact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?BUY YES0.070$1,981Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 08:56 PMExact Score: Any Other Score?BUY YES0.110$3,982Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 08:43 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.535$20.0K
Jul 11, 08:30 PMJude Bellingham: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.280$3,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 10, 08:55 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.900$14.7K— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:42 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.104$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 08:38 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.108$2,919Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 05:40 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.610$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:54 PMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?SELL YES0.717$1,871— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:52 PMExact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?SELL YES0.200$5,776— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:33 PMExact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?SELL YES0.071$2,040— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:31 PMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?SELL YES0.100$1,666— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:28 PMExact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?SELL YES0.282$3,494— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:26 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?SELL YES0.841$53.4K— (SELL)
Jul 9, 07:27 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY YES0.615$39.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 06:57 PMExact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.070$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 06:57 PMExact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?BUY YES0.069$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 06:57 PMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.120$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 06:57 PMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?BUY YES0.130$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 06:56 PMExact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?BUY YES0.140$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 09:24 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.203$4,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 07:56 PMExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Colombia?BUY YES0.070$1,563Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:54 PMExact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?BUY YES0.100$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:54 PMExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Colombia?BUY YES0.050$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 07:53 PMExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Colombia?BUY YES0.013$1,046
Jul 7, 05:04 PMWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?SELL YES0.320$15.6K— (SELL)
Jul 7, 05:03 PMExact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?SELL YES0.139$2,475— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:04 PMWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$5,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 02:59 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.270$9,271Cheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 02:35 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.024$5,503— (SELL)
Jul 7, 02:31 AMWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY YES0.210$5,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 7, 02:31 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.090$1,906Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 02:31 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.090$2,796Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 02:04 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?SELL YES0.999$57.9K— (SELL)
Jul 7, 01:34 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.182$2,031— (SELL)
Jul 6, 09:11 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.350$10.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:44 PMExact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?BUY YES0.090$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:44 PMExact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?BUY YES0.050$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:43 PMExact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?BUY YES0.070$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:09 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.340$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 05:37 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.129$7,998Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 05:34 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.013$1,907
Jul 6, 05:34 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.013$1,112
Jul 6, 05:33 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.142$7,100Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 02:00 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?SELL YES0.570$27.0K— (SELL)
Jul 5, 10:52 PMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.380$18.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 06:17 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$10,000
Jul 5, 06:16 PMExact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?BUY YES0.080$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 06:15 PMExact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?BUY YES0.130$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 06:15 PMExact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?BUY YES0.058$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 06:15 PMExact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?BUY YES0.100$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 07:11 PMWill France win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.830$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:52 AMWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.044$4,002
Jul 3, 11:34 PMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.045$2,073
Jul 3, 01:56 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.390$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 01:51 AMExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?BUY YES0.012$1,084
Jul 3, 01:51 AMExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Algeria?BUY YES0.030$2,000
Jul 3, 01:01 AMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY YES0.035$2,000
Jul 3, 12:56 AMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY YES0.123$1,171Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 12:18 AMWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?SELL YES0.464$26.9K— (SELL)
Jul 2, 10:59 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.165$9,570Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 05:43 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.760$47.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 10:40 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.110$29.9KKilled band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

69 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Other2$92.5K$-14,356
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other3$85.9K+$35.9K
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Other3$77.9K$-37,925
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Tech2$64.9K$-34,875
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech4$58.0K$-42,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Tech1$47.1K+$47.1K
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Other2$45.0K$-9,000
Will England win on 2026-07-18?Other3$36.8K+$3,214
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Other2$36.5K$-17,334
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Other1$29.9K+$29.9K
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Other3$25.6K$-5,619
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech2$24.7K$-4,747
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Other1$20.2K+$20.2K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsOther2$19.8K+$19.8K
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Other1$14.9K+$14.9K
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsOther2$13.7K$-7,704
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Other2$13.3K+$13.3K
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$8,522$-2,485
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?Other2$7,776$-3,776
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$7,100+$7,100
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?Tech2$6,999+$3,003
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?Other2$5,494$-1,494
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?Tech2$5,283+$5,283
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?Tech1$5,000+$5,000
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?Tech1$5,000+$5,000
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?Other1$5,000+$5,000

Showing top 30 by volume.