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madkkee

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd27c…c081 with our methodology badges per row.

0xd27cc742d023d06ef633a4c880cf1ff1836ec081·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
16
lifetime
PnL per $
-45%
historical realized
Win rate
42.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$95.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 16 resolved trades · -45% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
29
Distinct markets
19
Volume (90d)
$135.5K
avg $4,672 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$109.6K / $25.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 29 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 03:22 PMIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?BUY NO0.850$6,608Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 12:01 PMIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?BUY NO0.860$11.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 09:11 AMIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?BUY NO0.780$3,357Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 02:01 AMIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?BUY NO0.760$9,383Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:08 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.540$5,414
Jul 18, 11:01 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?SELL YES0.999$2,918— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:25 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.660$1,928Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:19 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.497$2,012
Jul 8, 06:20 PMTeam Yandex to win 2-0?BUY YES0.820$1,225Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:47 PMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.570$1,637
Jun 27, 11:42 PMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.680$1,612Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:23 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.540$40.0K
Jun 26, 05:50 PMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.640$1,045Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 03:36 PMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?SELL NO0.630$1,120— (SELL)
Jun 26, 05:46 AMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.640$3,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:04 AMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?SELL NO0.999$4,496— (SELL)
Jun 26, 01:33 AMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.630$2,835Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 03:19 AMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?BUY YES0.632$2,211Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 04:26 PM0xc7f2cf2cSELL YES0.999$5,164— (SELL)
Jun 4, 09:02 AM0xc7f2cf2cBUY YES0.720$1,138Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 08:59 AM0xc7f2cf2cBUY YES0.703$1,105Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 03:15 AM0xc791b09aBUY NO0.930$4,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:26 AM0xbf482a36BUY NO0.650$3,254Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:26 AM0x52f56cc1SELL NO0.993$6,541— (SELL)
Jun 3, 11:15 PM0xe312103cBUY NO0.497$1,822
Jun 1, 09:19 PM0x4edf1277SELL YES0.999$2,331— (SELL)
Jun 1, 12:52 PM0xee1de979BUY YES0.330$1,287Killed band — neutral expectation
May 31, 11:12 PM0x6944a094SELL YES0.999$3,330— (SELL)
May 31, 10:02 PM0x6944a094BUY YES0.781$2,603Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

19 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Other1$40.0K+$40.0K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Tech4$30.3K+$30.3K
0xc7f2cf2c3$7,407$-2,922
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?Other2$7,331$-1,660
0x52f56cc11$6,541$-6,541
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Other3$6,005+$3,766
0x6944a0942$5,933$-726
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$5,414+$5,414
Will England win on 2026-07-18?Other2$4,846$-990
0xc791b09a1$4,300+$4,300
0xbf482a361$3,254+$3,254
0x4edf12771$2,331$-2,331
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Other1$2,211+$2,211
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech1$2,012+$2,012
0xe312103c1$1,822+$1,822
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?Other1$1,637+$1,637
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Other1$1,612+$1,612
0xee1de9791$1,287+$1,287
Team Yandex to win 2-0?Other1$1,225+$1,225