Back to whale feed

cigarettes

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd218…b5c9 with our methodology badges per row.

0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
239
lifetime
PnL per $
-9%
historical realized
Win rate
63.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$645.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 239 resolved trades · -9% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
71
Volume (90d)
$549.6K
avg $2,748 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$535.9K / $13.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 11:24 PMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY YES0.410$1,226
Jul 19, 11:19 PMWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY NO0.617$1,728Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:44 PMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY NO0.633$3,153Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:59 PMWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY YES0.354$2,124Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 06:33 PMWill Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.881$1,101Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:26 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.410$2,024
Jul 19, 06:16 PMWill Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?SELL NO0.999$1,079— (SELL)
Jul 19, 05:19 PMLionel Messi: 2+ assistsBUY NO0.920$1,195Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 05:12 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.409$3,139
Jul 19, 02:12 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.981$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 02:05 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.982$11.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:53 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.982$3,830Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:46 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY YES0.280$1,203Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 01:45 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.981$4,759Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:41 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.982$2,750Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:37 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.982$9,575Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:36 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.982$4,714Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:35 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.981$1,717Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:35 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.979$1,517Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:24 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.982$3,340Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:24 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY NO0.982$2,056Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:00 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.409$1,058
Jul 19, 09:22 AMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY YES0.280$3,161Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 03:25 AMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY NO0.610$3,660Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 03:23 AMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY NO0.610$1,179Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 11:13 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY YES0.280$1,173Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 10:13 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.408$1,132
Jul 18, 10:13 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.408$3,726
Jul 18, 10:12 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.407$1,235
Jul 18, 10:09 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.406$1,543
Jul 18, 10:07 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.406$1,849
Jul 18, 10:06 PMKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY NO0.860$1,224Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:05 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.404$4,520
Jul 18, 10:05 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.404$2,141
Jul 18, 10:03 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.404$1,966
Jul 18, 10:03 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$1,237
Jul 18, 10:03 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$1,848
Jul 18, 10:02 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$1,357
Jul 18, 10:02 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$2,720
Jul 18, 10:01 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$2,132
Jul 18, 10:00 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$4,531
Jul 18, 10:00 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$1,575
Jul 18, 09:59 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$2,585
Jul 18, 09:59 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$1,821
Jul 18, 09:59 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$1,140
Jul 18, 09:59 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.402$2,822
Jul 18, 08:52 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY YES0.270$1,411Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 08:46 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY NO0.720$1,373Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:09 PMMichael Olise: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.830$1,660Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 05:44 PMWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY NO0.860$5,160Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 05:43 PMWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY NO0.860$5,160Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 05:37 PMWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY NO0.777$1,049Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 12:55 PMExact Score: France 3 - 3 England?BUY NO0.974$2,094Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 11:03 PMOusmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.720$2,232Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 09:30 PMWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.350$3,413Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 16, 01:58 AMWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY NO0.594$1,558
Jul 16, 01:57 AMWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY NO0.594$2,851
Jul 15, 09:08 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.563$8,188
Jul 15, 08:03 PMExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.130$1,164Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 11:37 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.197$1,074Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 10:58 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.197$2,032Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 10:27 PMLionel Messi: 2+ goalsBUY NO0.899$2,824Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:19 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.230$1,091Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 09:19 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.226$2,024Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 08:33 PMMichael Olise: 1+ assistsBUY NO0.900$1,067Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:33 PMMichael Olise: 1+ assistsBUY NO0.900$1,800Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 06:47 PMKylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsBUY NO0.972$1,266Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:59 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.620$1,036Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:59 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.620$1,720Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 04:20 AMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.536$6,916
Jul 12, 03:23 AMJulián Álvarez: 1+ goalsSELL NO0.999$12.6K— (SELL)
Jul 12, 01:45 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.375$1,732Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 01:36 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.802$4,451Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 01:36 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.801$2,622Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 01:18 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.804$1,327Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:44 AMArgentina to win the second half?BUY YES0.490$1,180
Jul 11, 11:58 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.793$8,049Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:56 PMJulián Álvarez: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.730$2,190Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:37 PMJulián Álvarez: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.720$1,476Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:52 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.385$1,629Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 10:45 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.385$2,679Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 10:02 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.174$1,018Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 07:02 PMLautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.730$2,628Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 05:48 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.177$1,248Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 02:12 AMJulián Álvarez: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.730$1,533Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 10:29 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.364$3,279Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 10:29 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.364$4,353Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:38 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.374$3,564Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 09:55 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.602$9,030Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 07:21 PMAchraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.910$5,506Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 07:19 PMKylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsBUY NO0.950$4,513Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 04:45 PMDésiré Doué: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.820$1,271Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 01:33 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.180$1,080Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 8, 05:55 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.806$1,572Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 05:52 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.806$1,572Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 02:40 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.814$1,140Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 11:06 PMWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?BUY NO0.860$2,907Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 10:54 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.812$4,060Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 08:08 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.823$1,188Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:59 PMSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY YES0.160$1,012Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 04:20 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.834$2,778Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 04:04 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.187$1,300Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 06:38 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.807$1,517Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:09 AMWill USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.490$2,034
Jul 6, 09:02 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.178$2,065Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 05:35 PMWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?BUY NO0.800$1,727Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:29 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.938$2,226Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:18 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.940$9,447Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 07:02 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.939$5,593Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 03:14 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.938$3,283Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 03:12 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.938$1,266Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 03:10 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.938$1,471Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 03:10 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.938$3,142Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 03:06 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.875$4,832Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:28 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.648$1,241Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:04 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.820$1,936Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:27 PMWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.430$2,504
Jul 5, 10:06 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.648$1,982Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:56 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.818$2,699Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:46 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.821$3,286Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:48 PMAntonio Nusa: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.880$3,080Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:21 PMBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY YES0.340$2,028Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 11:30 AMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY YES0.671$2,582Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:20 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.674$1,416Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:19 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.670$1,173Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:53 PMFrance to win the second half?BUY YES0.730$1,722Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:05 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.635$1,656Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:02 PMFrance leading at halftime?BUY YES0.590$2,248
Jul 4, 08:54 PMParaguay to score first vs. France?BUY NO0.850$1,966Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:54 PMParaguay to score first vs. France?BUY NO0.850$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:32 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.636$1,940Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:32 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.636$1,145Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 08:25 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.540$1,539
Jul 4, 07:31 PMMichael Olise: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.670$1,135Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 07:03 PMFrance to win the second half?BUY YES0.690$10.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 05:58 PMCanada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.260$1,124Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 05:56 PMExact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?BUY YES0.290$1,036Cheap band — no rep
Jul 4, 04:49 PMJonathan David: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.800$1,560Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:35 PMIsmael Saibari: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.670$2,747Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:58 AMJordan Ayew: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.890$2,270Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:58 AMAntoine Semenyo: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.870$2,175Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 10:56 PMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?BUY YES0.220$1,776Cheap band — no rep
Jul 3, 05:56 PMWill Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.500$1,295
Jul 3, 05:48 PMWill Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?BUY YES0.290$1,030Cheap band — no rep
Jul 2, 12:36 AMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.550$1,650
Jul 1, 07:45 PMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.430$1,032
Jul 1, 04:00 PMWill England win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.760$11.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:57 PMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.410$3,901
Jul 1, 02:59 AMMexico to win the second half?BUY YES0.370$4,364Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 02:59 AMMexico to win the second half?BUY YES0.370$4,081Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 02:33 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.903$1,269Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 02:28 AMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.710$9,940Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 11:57 PMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY NO0.800$4,150Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 09:48 PMFrance to win the second half?BUY YES0.650$1,884Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 08:41 PMExact Score: France 3 - 2 Sweden?BUY NO0.959$1,822Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 02:44 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.194$2,944Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 02:35 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.735$1,029Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 01:12 AMWill Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.770$2,025Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 01:12 AMWill Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.730$1,558Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 11:13 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.763$1,755Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 11:11 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.763$2,327Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 03:39 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.380$1,900Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 08:22 AMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.370$1,258Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 04:29 AMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.380$1,900Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 10:16 PMWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?BUY YES0.260$1,456Cheap band — no rep
Jun 28, 09:46 PMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.370$1,628Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 08:24 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.400$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 08:22 PMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.400$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 09:25 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.789$2,289Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 09:25 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.789$1,578Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 09:25 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.789$1,854Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 04:17 AMWill Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.730$1,495Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:57 AMArgentina to win the second half?BUY YES0.710$3,674Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:22 AMArgentina to win the second half?BUY YES0.710$3,195Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:11 AMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.925$6,475Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:07 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.887$1,155Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:54 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.764$1,402Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:48 PMWill Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.520$1,274
Jun 27, 09:28 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.771$11.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 05:16 PMWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.250$1,325Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 05:16 PMWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.250$1,363Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 04:25 PMWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?BUY YES0.280$2,069Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 04:12 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.882$14.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 04:02 AMWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.912$1,368Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 06:53 PMExact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?BUY NO0.907$2,098Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 06:16 AMWill Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.440$2,728
Jun 25, 11:16 AMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.768$6,905Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:49 AMWill South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.830$2,139Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:09 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.630$1,123Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:09 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.630$1,318Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:02 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.640$2,584Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:02 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.640$1,958Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:02 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.640$1,184Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 12:53 AMWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.772$2,568Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:07 PMBrazil to win the second half?BUY YES0.560$1,407
Jun 24, 11:06 PMBrazil to win the second half?BUY YES0.560$2,800
Jun 24, 11:00 PMBrazil to win the second half?BUY YES0.540$1,280
Jun 24, 11:00 PMBrazil to win the second half?BUY YES0.540$1,618
Jun 24, 11:00 PMBrazil to win the second half?BUY YES0.540$2,700
Jun 24, 10:58 PMBrazil to win the second half?BUY YES0.530$1,056

Markets active in

71 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other38$84.1K+$84.1K
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?Tech11$58.2K+$58.2K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other19$55.1K+$55.1K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech9$35.7K+$35.7K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other8$32.9K+$32.9K
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsOther4$17.8K$-7,422
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other6$16.5K+$16.5K
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other5$15.4K+$15.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Other5$13.4K+$13.4K
France to win the second half?Other2$12.1K+$12.1K
Will England win on 2026-07-01?Other1$11.4K+$11.4K
Brazil to win the second half?Other6$10.9K+$10.9K
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other6$10.3K+$10.3K
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Other2$10.3K+$10.3K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Other1$9,940+$9,940
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Other5$9,310+$9,310
Mexico to win the second half?Other2$8,445+$8,445
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Other5$8,167+$8,167
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?Other4$8,159+$8,159
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance1$6,905+$6,905
Argentina to win the second half?Other2$6,869+$6,869
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfTech3$5,537+$5,537
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsOther1$5,506+$5,506
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsOther1$4,513+$4,513
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance3$3,836+$3,836
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics1$3,413+$3,413
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsOther1$3,080+$3,080
Paraguay to score first vs. France?Other2$3,066+$3,066
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsOther2$2,867+$2,867
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsOther1$2,824+$2,824

Showing top 30 by volume.