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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd202…8973 with our methodology badges per row.

0xd202bf6d89dc6bab1b9f00ead175f75466348973·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
19
lifetime
PnL per $
-34%
historical realized
Win rate
33.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$223.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 19 resolved trades · -34% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
36
Distinct markets
25
Volume (90d)
$447.0K
avg $12.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$441.3K / $5,680
net direction

Recent trades

last 36 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 06:49 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.550$37.2K
Jul 18, 08:47 PMExact Score: France 3 - 0 England?BUY NO0.944$15.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:58 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY YES0.345$4,469Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 05:13 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.297$8,797Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 04:10 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.290$6,193Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 07:46 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.570$3,521
Jul 3, 03:49 PMWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.270$6,165Cheap band — no rep
Jul 3, 03:23 PMWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.270$9,722Cheap band — no rep
Jul 3, 03:23 PMWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.270$1,382Cheap band — no rep
Jul 2, 05:50 PMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY NO0.752$18.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 05:50 PMWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY NO0.752$11.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 04:47 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY NO0.710$29.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 11:10 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.290$21.5KCheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 03:05 PMWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY NO0.690$17.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:30 PMUruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.510$3,210
Jun 26, 10:48 PMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.270$1,885Cheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 10:35 PMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.260$1,992Cheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 09:19 PMWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY NO0.740$26.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 09:19 PMWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY NO0.740$1,694Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:10 PMWill France win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.370$10.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 02:19 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.510$20.4K
Jun 25, 09:37 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.460$6,962
Jun 24, 09:12 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.500$4,033
Jun 24, 09:12 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.500$28.8K
Jun 23, 01:03 AMJordan leading at halftime?BUY NO0.860$1,887Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:56 PMCanada leading at halftime?BUY YES0.405$14.3K
Jun 11, 08:22 PMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.500$5,441
May 30, 06:06 PM0x6e9f90a6BUY YES0.530$19.8K
May 30, 06:06 PM0x6e9f90a6BUY YES0.530$42.4K
May 24, 02:56 PM0x83e3bd62SELL NO0.480$2,183— (SELL)
May 23, 06:26 PM0x6f4da6a2BUY YES0.390$10.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
May 17, 04:50 PM0x0ebd0580BUY YES0.470$2,763
May 16, 04:49 PM0x30d49ac0SELL YES0.999$3,497— (SELL)
May 16, 01:54 PM0x30d49ac0BUY YES0.540$43.9K
May 13, 07:38 PM0x2c4cb0caBUY NO0.550$1,363
May 13, 07:31 PM0x2c4cb0caBUY NO0.560$3,400

Markets active in

25 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
0x6e9f90a62$62.2K+$62.2K
0x30d49ac02$47.4K+$40.4K
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$37.2K+$37.2K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Other2$32.9K+$32.9K
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Other1$29.1K+$29.1K
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Other2$29.1K+$29.1K
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Tech2$28.4K+$28.4K
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Other2$27.4K+$27.4K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Other1$21.5K+$21.5K
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Other1$17.4K+$17.4K
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Other3$17.3K+$17.3K
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?Other1$15.1K+$15.1K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Tech2$15.0K+$15.0K
Canada leading at halftime?Other1$14.3K+$14.3K
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Other1$10.4K+$10.4K
0x6f4da6a21$10.2K+$10.2K
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$5,441+$5,441
0x2c4cb0ca2$4,763+$4,763
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Other1$4,469+$4,469
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Other2$3,877+$3,877
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Tech1$3,521+$3,521
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$3,210+$3,210
0x0ebd05801$2,763+$2,763
0x83e3bd621$2,183$-2,183
Jordan leading at halftime?Other1$1,887+$1,887