curie

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd1ed…d7cb with our methodology badges per row.

0xd1ed12197b7dc22dede923727e9b714024dbd7cb·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

336

lifetime

PnL per $

+7%

historical realized

Win rate

89.3%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$2.08M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$784.1K

avg $3,921 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$784.1K / $0

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 10:01 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,416	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:52 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.900	$3,060	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:49 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.920	$1,831	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:49 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,489	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.710	$3,521	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:13 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,002	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.897	$15.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:10 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.850	$4,433	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.097	$1,192	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.917	$1,379	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.887	$1,011	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:02 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.750	$3,188	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:02 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.750	$1,013	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:29 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.440	$2,070	—
Jul 18, 10:58 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.971	$1,157	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:58 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.940	$2,483	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:58 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.956	$1,998	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:58 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.941	$2,586	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.917	$1,541	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:43 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.578	$1,713	—
Jul 18, 10:30 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.320	$3,092	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:30 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$2,447	Conviction tier
Jul 18, 10:09 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.961	$13.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.910	$1,251	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:38 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,022	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:38 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$16.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$3,071	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$6,010	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$2,578	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$3,439	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$5,918	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,794	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$8,738	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$2,488	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:33 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.840	$4,517	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:27 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.738	$1,486	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:17 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.320	$1,224	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 02:05 AM	Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-17?	BUY NO	0.980	$2,778	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:57 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.885	$14.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.927	$6,185	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.927	$7,301	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.905	$6,520	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.905	$1,770	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.900	$1,979	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.900	$15.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.900	$8,719	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.895	$1,320	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.848	$1,399	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.843	$1,936	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,391	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,403	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:36 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.581	$1,292	—
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.799	$1,597	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:57 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.950	$1,041	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:21 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.720	$2,090	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:19 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.221	$3,113	Conviction tier
Jul 14, 07:14 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.330	$1,540	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 03:08 AM	Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.630	$1,151	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 03:05 AM	Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.600	$2,416	—
Jul 12, 03:05 AM	Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.600	$2,456	—
Jul 12, 02:53 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.960	$9,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 02:31 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.510	$1,383	—
Jul 11, 11:15 PM	Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.780	$3,315	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:15 PM	Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,547	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:15 PM	Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.780	$3,315	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:12 PM	Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.780	$4,290	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:50 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.550	$2,451	—
Jul 11, 09:50 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.519	$3,300	—
Jul 11, 09:50 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.858	$1,073	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:36 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.500	$9,259	—
Jul 10, 08:58 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.948	$1,063	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 08:58 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.950	$12.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 07:39 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.825	$6,456	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:59 PM	France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.960	$1,471	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:54 PM	Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY YES	0.950	$1,606	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:53 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.970	$9,850	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:53 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,364	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:12 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.210	$1,089	Conviction tier
Jul 7, 05:57 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.820	$1,827	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:57 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.900	$1,185	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.891	$3,394	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.891	$1,078	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:56 PM	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.960	$1,811	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.920	$1,845	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.910	$4,491	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:56 PM	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,780	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.899	$3,232	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:42 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.710	$1,252	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:42 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.940	$2,412	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.550	$2,613	—
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,651	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.520	$1,024	—
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.720	$3,121	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.790	$2,999	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.790	$2,963	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.790	$3,634	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.790	$3,674	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:23 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.790	$2,171	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:22 PM	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.244	$2,239	Conviction tier
Jul 7, 04:20 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	BUY YES	0.480	$11.8K	—
Jul 7, 01:20 AM	United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,661	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:33 AM	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,208	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:33 AM	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,871	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:32 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.690	$1,785	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:31 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.370	$1,438	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 12:31 AM	United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY YES	0.880	$1,677	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:09 AM	United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.340	$2,298	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 09:00 PM	Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.970	$1,107	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:59 PM	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,859	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:58 PM	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.943	$14.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:58 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.970	$13.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:58 PM	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,563	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 06:09 PM	Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.820	$3,280	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 06:09 PM	Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.820	$3,280	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 06:09 PM	Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.820	$3,280	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 06:09 PM	Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.820	$3,280	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:59 AM	Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY NO	0.760	$2,620	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:59 AM	Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY NO	0.760	$3,040	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:59 AM	Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY NO	0.760	$3,292	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:59 AM	Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY NO	0.760	$3,561	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:59 AM	Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY NO	0.760	$5,488	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:28 AM	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.338	$2,658	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 02:28 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.940	$3,947	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:27 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.780	$1,437	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:27 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.779	$1,196	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:23 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.950	$2,656	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:23 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.950	$2,808	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:21 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.220	$1,184	Conviction tier
Jul 6, 02:20 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.706	$5,725	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:20 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.698	$7,309	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:20 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.700	$2,062	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:20 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.700	$3,330	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:14 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.600	$1,563	—
Jul 6, 01:39 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.140	$4,659	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 01:37 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.180	$1,521	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:03 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.970	$7,232	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:02 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.720	$1,956	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:01 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.719	$10.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:01 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.780	$1,003	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:01 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.780	$1,064	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:00 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.828	$1,913	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:00 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.943	$13.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:00 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.980	$15.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:00 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.970	$3,880	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:49 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.970	$3,821	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:41 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.690	$1,380	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:41 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.520	$1,061	—
Jul 5, 09:41 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.520	$1,011	—
Jul 5, 09:41 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.520	$1,233	—
Jul 5, 08:41 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY NO	0.980	$1,960	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 08:15 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.570	$1,083	—
Jul 5, 08:13 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.590	$2,696	—
Jul 5, 08:13 PM	Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.590	$1,361	—
Jul 5, 08:10 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.410	$1,005	—
Jul 5, 08:10 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.398	$8,283	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 11:02 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.970	$23.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:35 PM	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.940	$3,661	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:35 PM	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.940	$5,013	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:35 PM	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.940	$5,413	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:34 PM	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.940	$54.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:34 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.920	$3,252	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:33 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.920	$20.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:33 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.851	$5,377	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:33 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,677	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:32 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,229	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:31 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.850	$1,138	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:30 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.770	$7,021	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:30 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.308	$2,982	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 09:51 PM	Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.850	$5,886	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 07:00 PM	Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.940	$3,104	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 06:45 PM	Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.929	$1,195	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 06:45 PM	Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	BUY NO	0.650	$1,119	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 05:29 PM	Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY NO	0.940	$1,880	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 03:25 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.940	$1,749	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 02:49 AM	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.984	$3,936	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:39 AM	Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.390	$2,067	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 12:40 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.940	$2,249	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:40 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.940	$2,264	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:40 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,555	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:40 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.925	$2,179	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:40 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.925	$2,179	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:40 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.925	$2,259	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:40 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.925	$2,179	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:40 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.925	$2,178	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:31 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,480	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:28 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY YES	0.620	$1,380	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:10 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.880	$4,951	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:07 AM	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BUY NO	0.829	$1,264	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:58 PM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.950	$1,520	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 11:54 PM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.270	$1,555	Conviction tier
Jul 3, 11:50 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.510	$1,868	—
Jul 3, 11:49 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.440	$3,496	—
Jul 3, 11:49 PM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.598	$1,073	—
Jul 3, 11:38 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.510	$2,289	—
Jul 3, 07:57 PM	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.980	$2,130	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 07:55 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.940	$2,476	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 06:44 PM	Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY NO	0.940	$1,982	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 06:23 PM	Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY NO	0.780	$1,068	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 06:12 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.651	$22.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 03:10 AM	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.743	$1,141	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

63 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Other	4	$68.4K	+$68.4K
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Other	9	$66.9K	+$66.9K
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Other	12	$55.8K	+$55.8K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Other	15	$48.3K	+$48.3K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	9	$46.7K	+$46.7K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Other	8	$38.2K	+$38.2K
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	9	$34.8K	+$34.8K
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Other	10	$30.0K	+$30.0K
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Other	3	$28.1K	+$28.1K
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Other	12	$26.1K	+$26.1K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Other	2	$24.6K	+$24.6K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Tech	3	$20.4K	+$20.4K
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Tech	3	$18.2K	+$18.2K
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	Other	5	$18.0K	+$18.0K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Tech	3	$17.6K	+$17.6K
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Tech	7	$15.5K	+$15.5K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Other	3	$15.0K	+$15.0K
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Tech	4	$13.1K	+$13.1K
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Other	3	$13.1K	+$13.1K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Tech	1	$13.1K	+$13.1K
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Other	4	$12.5K	+$12.5K
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Other	4	$10.5K	+$10.5K
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Other	5	$9,983	+$9,983
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Other	1	$9,850	+$9,850
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Other	1	$9,600	+$9,600
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Other	3	$9,411	+$9,411
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Other	4	$8,952	+$8,952
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Other	3	$7,652	+$7,652
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Tech	3	$6,823	+$6,823
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Other	3	$6,743	+$6,743

Showing top 30 by volume.