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Kickstand7

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xd1ac…08d5 with our methodology badges per row.

0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
-8%
historical realized
Win rate
81.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$242.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 15 resolved trades · -8% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
39
Distinct markets
14
Volume (90d)
$366.5K
avg $9,397 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$285.9K / $80.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 39 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 14, 02:27 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.070$2,866Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 01:04 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.070$4,111Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 12:34 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.890$57.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:32 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.890$87.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 12:31 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.880$38.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 09:57 PMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.636$3,179— (SELL)
Jul 13, 09:56 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.630$5,035— (SELL)
Jul 13, 06:20 PMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL YES0.218$1,319— (SELL)
Jul 4, 11:37 PMWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL NO0.479$2,395— (SELL)
Jun 12, 02:53 PM0x6114a8a3BUY YES0.310$2,540Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 05:30 PM0x6114a8a3BUY YES0.291$11.4KCheap band — no rep
Jun 10, 03:36 AM0x2cd24d17BUY NO0.920$2,147Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 10:34 PM0xc4c3dbccSELL YES0.920$27.2K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 02:03 AM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.870$4,671Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:51 AM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.860$1,333Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:46 AM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.840$12.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 11:53 PM0xc4c3dbccSELL YES0.870$7,479— (SELL)
Jun 8, 03:41 PM0x2cd24d17SELL NO0.676$5,602— (SELL)
Jun 8, 03:22 AM0xc4c3dbccSELL YES0.600$9,553— (SELL)
Jun 8, 02:59 AM0xc4c3dbccBUY YES0.420$6,039—
May 31, 01:10 AM0x366f8964BUY YES0.136$3,222Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 03:20 PMWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL YES0.229$1,011— (SELL)
May 30, 03:19 PMWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL YES0.232$1,219— (SELL)
May 29, 05:25 PMWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY YES0.205$1,518Cheap band — no rep
May 29, 03:37 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.150$4,935— (SELL)
May 29, 03:13 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.150$9,116Killed band — neutral expectation
May 28, 02:13 PM0x366f8964BUY YES0.216$4,610Cheap band — no rep
May 27, 03:34 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.230$2,747Cheap band — no rep
May 25, 03:50 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.360$3,791Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 11:48 PM0x781a06aaSELL NO0.956$3,110— (SELL)
May 24, 06:42 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.270$3,940Cheap band — no rep
May 23, 08:38 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.550$2,215—
May 19, 04:43 PM0x781a06aaBUY NO0.920$2,917Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 06:20 PMWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.219$3,020Cheap band — no rep
May 13, 06:20 PMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY NO0.218$3,324Cheap band — no rep
May 10, 06:02 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.270$8,537— (SELL)
May 9, 08:47 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.270$8,537Cheap band — no rep
May 8, 02:29 PMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY NO0.200$2,431Cheap band — no rep
May 8, 02:29 PMWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.195$2,809Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

14 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance6$195.8K+$185.8K
0xc4c3dbcc—7$69.0K$-19,528
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other6$37.7K+$10.7K
0x6114a8a3—2$13.9K+$13.9K
0x366f8964—2$7,832+$7,832
0x2cd24d17—2$7,750$-3,455
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other2$6,154+$6,154
0x781a06aa—2$6,028$-193
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics2$5,830+$5,830
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics2$5,756+$5,756
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics3$3,749$-713
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance1$3,179$-3,179
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Other1$2,395$-2,395
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Other1$1,319$-1,319