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111111111115

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xcd30…f316 with our methodology badges per row.

0xcd30f4698c6f5f3829893e68e183a8e5ea18f316·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
13
lifetime
PnL per $
-24%
historical realized
Win rate
36.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$986.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 13 resolved trades · -24% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
19
Distinct markets
12
Volume (90d)
$1.16M
avg $61.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.16M / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 19 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 06:57 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.328$98.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:52 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.345$17.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:52 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.345$34.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 06:51 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.345$51.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 12:58 AMWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY YES0.360$18.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 12:39 AMWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY YES0.350$38.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 05:23 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY NO0.470$141.0K
Jun 27, 05:55 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.540$162.0K
Jun 26, 11:28 PMWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$4,050Cheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 11:28 PMWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$4,858Cheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 11:28 PMWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$13.5KCheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 09:37 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.410$89.7K
Jun 26, 09:37 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.410$22.2K
Jun 26, 09:37 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.410$11.1K
Jun 25, 07:55 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.439$15.4K
Jun 24, 09:40 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.240$28.8KCheap band — no rep
Jun 23, 02:45 AMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.660$101.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 11:33 PMWill Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$106.4KCheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 12:21 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.400$200.0KKilled band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

12 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Other1$200.0K+$200.0K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Other1$162.0K+$162.0K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Other1$141.0K+$141.0K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Tech3$123.0K+$123.0K
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Other1$106.4K+$106.4K
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Other3$103.5K+$103.5K
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Other1$101.2K+$101.2K
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Tech1$98.3K+$98.3K
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Other2$57.0K+$57.0K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Other1$28.8K+$28.8K
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Tech3$22.4K+$22.4K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Other1$15.4K+$15.4K