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Lotfi009

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc931…c416 with our methodology badges per row.

0xc931d4289add90e51177cfc2bfc69a446efac416·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
25
lifetime
PnL per $
-18%
historical realized
Win rate
51.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$163.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 25 resolved trades · -18% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
25
Distinct markets
11
Volume (90d)
$163.1K
avg $6,525 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$75.6K / $87.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 25 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 01:47 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.409$3,501— (SELL)
Jul 18, 11:56 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.075$10.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 11:13 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.197$12.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 01:59 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.225$10.2K— (SELL)
Jul 15, 12:43 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.227$2,214— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:40 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.187$1,816— (SELL)
Jul 12, 12:05 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.206$8,233— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:08 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.156$5,094Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 01:15 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.018$5,400— (SELL)
Jul 7, 02:47 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.182$6,746Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 02:45 AMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.023$7,452— (SELL)
Jul 6, 11:22 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.046$4,164— (SELL)
Jul 6, 11:21 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.326$21.3K— (SELL)
Jul 4, 07:34 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.024$1,718— (SELL)
Jul 4, 04:13 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.026$1,862
Jul 4, 04:11 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.168$1,914— (SELL)
Jul 1, 01:37 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.194$9,017Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 10:57 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.290$9,285Cheap band — no rep
Jun 30, 05:38 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.276$9,202Cheap band — no rep
Jun 29, 11:26 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.252$9,616— (SELL)
Jun 27, 02:25 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.224$8,547Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 02:24 PMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.042$3,399— (SELL)
Jun 27, 02:24 PMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.043$5,527— (SELL)
Jun 23, 09:04 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.028$1,170— (SELL)
Jun 22, 03:53 PMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.055$2,890Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

11 markets · sorted by volume