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Hugewinner

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc8ec…e8f1 with our methodology badges per row.

0xc8ec6d4cef5c5fe8409ef69303c37f05b678e8f1·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
55
lifetime
PnL per $
-12%
historical realized
Win rate
34.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.05M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 55 resolved trades · -12% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
65
Distinct markets
40
Volume (90d)
$1.11M
avg $17.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$452.8K / $652.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 65 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 10:12 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.999$200.1K— (SELL)
Jul 17, 04:41 PMWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY NO0.148$2,280Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 17, 04:39 PMExact Score: Any Other Score?BUY YES0.050$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 17, 04:38 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY YES0.038$1,200
Jul 17, 04:38 PMExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?BUY YES0.037$1,500
Jul 15, 09:50 PMWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY NO0.102$1,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 09:18 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.910$45.5K— (SELL)
Jul 13, 04:44 PMLamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.250$4,500Cheap band — no rep
Jul 13, 04:31 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.620$1,268Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 09:00 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL YES0.998$31.5K— (SELL)
Jul 10, 05:21 AMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.598$18.9K
Jul 7, 01:20 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.740$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 08:55 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?SELL YES0.901$43.6K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 08:55 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?SELL YES0.900$8,887— (SELL)
Jul 6, 06:52 AMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY YES0.510$29.7K
Jul 4, 07:15 PMWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY YES0.140$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 07:12 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?SELL YES0.999$153.1K— (SELL)
Jul 4, 12:29 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.560$7,386
Jul 3, 08:25 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.550$25.0K
Jul 3, 08:25 AMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.557$52.7K
Jul 2, 09:04 PMWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.168$4,307Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 09:02 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.125$25.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 09:01 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?SELL YES0.998$120.0K— (SELL)
Jul 2, 08:50 AMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.748$90.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 06:24 PMWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.001$1,500
Jul 1, 06:24 PMWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.001$1,098
Jun 29, 12:43 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.013$1,365— (SELL)
Jun 29, 12:43 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.023$1,859— (SELL)
Jun 29, 12:43 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.018$1,900— (SELL)
Jun 26, 05:34 PMWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.270$5,961Cheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 05:34 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.160$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 05:31 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.125$1,868— (SELL)
Jun 26, 05:31 PMWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?SELL YES0.170$2,429— (SELL)
Jun 26, 03:34 PMWill New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.120$1,097Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 03:31 PMWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?BUY YES0.210$3,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 03:31 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.200$3,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 10:53 AMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY YES0.279$3,656Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 10:52 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.511$10,000
Jun 24, 07:54 AMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.180$2,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 07:54 AMWill Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?BUY YES0.250$1,800Cheap band — no rep
Jun 24, 07:53 AMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.260$2,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 24, 07:52 AMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?BUY YES0.180$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 07:36 PMWill Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$9,078Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 07:36 PMWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY YES0.140$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 07:35 PMWill Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY YES0.230$10,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 07:35 PMWill France vs. Iraq end in a draw?BUY YES0.080$8,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 2, 06:07 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.008$2,000
Jun 2, 06:00 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.008$3,000
Jun 2, 05:58 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.008$3,088
May 25, 06:20 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL YES0.342$1,179— (SELL)
May 25, 06:20 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL NO0.340$2,402— (SELL)
May 25, 06:18 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL YES0.352$4,318— (SELL)
May 25, 06:17 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL NO0.350$4,951— (SELL)
May 25, 06:17 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL NO0.354$3,334— (SELL)
May 25, 06:16 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL NO0.363$4,553— (SELL)
May 19, 05:47 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.508$9,692
May 19, 02:41 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY NO0.514$10,000
May 18, 06:24 AMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY YES0.700$5,695Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 06:23 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.333$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 18, 06:23 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY NO0.325$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 18, 02:52 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL NO0.999$19.3K— (SELL)
May 16, 07:40 PMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY YES0.692$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:38 PMWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.776$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:37 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.143$10,000Killed band — neutral expectation
May 8, 06:14 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.099$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

40 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Other4$238.3K$-68,039
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech2$225.1K$-175,062
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Tech2$209.9K$-29,950
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Tech3$82.3K$-22,789
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Tech2$50.4K$-12,638
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance2$46.8K$-44,232
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Sports6$35.2K+$4,760
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Sports2$34.3K$-4,305
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Sports2$25.7K+$25.7K
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Sports4$25.2K+$14.2K
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports2$15.0K+$15.0K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Other1$9,078+$9,078
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto3$8,088+$8,088
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Other1$8,000+$8,000
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Tech1$5,961+$5,961
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Other2$5,429+$571
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Other2$4,868+$1,132
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsOther1$4,500+$4,500
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Other1$4,307+$4,307
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Other2$3,680+$3,680
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?Other1$3,656+$3,656
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Other1$2,500+$2,500
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$1,900$-1,900

Showing top 30 by volume.