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starg
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc74d…bb53 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-15%
historical realized
Win rate
56.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$34.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -15% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
8
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$34.8K
avg $4,350 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$34.8K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 8 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 05:55 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.927 | $10.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 04:01 PM | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY YES | 0.550 | $5,500 | — |
| Jul 15, 09:38 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.358 | $2,523 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 25, 12:27 AM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $6,090 | — |
| Jun 25, 12:26 AM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $5,800 | — |
| Jun 24, 04:28 PM | Korea Republic leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.440 | $1,958 | — |
| Jun 9, 07:11 PM | Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | BUY NO | 0.906 | $1,266 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 06:53 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.201 | $1,412 | Cheap band — no rep |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $12.8K | +$12.8K |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Other | 2 | $11.9K | +$11.9K |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Other | 1 | $5,500 | +$5,500 |
| Korea Republic leading at halftime? | Other | 1 | $1,958 | +$1,958 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 1 | $1,412 | +$1,412 |
| Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | Sports | 1 | $1,266 | +$1,266 |