Back to whale feed
damed21
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc6b1…78fd with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
-64%
historical realized
Win rate
23.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$145.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 17 resolved trades · -64% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
33
Distinct markets
20
Volume (90d)
$248.0K
avg $7,515 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$117.8K / $130.1K
net direction
Recent trades
last 33 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:29 PM | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $42.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 09:06 PM | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.764 | $9,739 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 08:26 PM | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.410 | $2,050 | — |
| Jul 19, 08:11 PM | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.410 | $6,150 | — |
| Jul 18, 09:32 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL YES | 0.160 | $7,360 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 09:32 PM | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | SELL YES | 0.180 | $3,600 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 08:48 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $26.2K | — |
| Jul 7, 07:25 PM | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $6,030 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 07:54 PM | Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime? | BUY NO | 0.440 | $3,988 | — |
| May 23, 06:51 PM | 0xf6f12a1e | BUY NO | 0.620 | $3,286 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 05:49 PM | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? | BUY NO | 0.290 | $1,869 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 21, 09:08 PM | 0x63907312 | BUY NO | 0.510 | $2,494 | — |
| May 21, 05:12 PM | 0xf3180f0f | BUY NO | 0.290 | $1,716 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 19, 11:16 PM | 0x0e3449f2 | BUY NO | 0.400 | $1,481 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 19, 11:15 PM | 0x0e3449f2 | BUY NO | 0.400 | $3,320 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 19, 08:24 PM | 0x2f606126 | SELL YES | 0.990 | $3,960 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 01:35 AM | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $18.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 10:39 PM | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.845 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 08:44 PM | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.823 | $1,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 07:14 PM | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.260 | $4,094 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 17, 07:12 PM | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.260 | $2,494 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 17, 07:12 PM | 0xf6860d65 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $22.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 05:10 PM | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.320 | $3,788 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 04:50 PM | 0x9ff95e36 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,197 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:05 AM | 0xf6860d65 | BUY NO | 0.540 | $6,413 | — |
| May 17, 08:02 AM | 0xf6860d65 | BUY NO | 0.540 | $5,832 | — |
| May 17, 07:29 AM | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.260 | $4,961 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 16, 09:50 PM | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $2,225 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 09:11 PM | 0x2d2097c0 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $24.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 07:27 PM | 0x9f8017df | BUY NO | 0.640 | $8,640 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 12:05 AM | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.424 | $5,000 | — |
| May 11, 06:57 PM | 0x4b602ea0 | BUY NO | 0.300 | $1,908 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 11, 06:54 PM | 0xeb517746 | BUY NO | 0.570 | $4,441 | — |
Markets active in
20 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Tech | 4 | $60.7K | $-24,816 |
| 0xf6860d65 | — | 3 | $34.9K | $-10,408 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | Other | 2 | $33.6K | +$18.9K |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Other | 4 | $24.3K | $-12,875 |
| 0x2d2097c0 | — | 1 | $24.2K | $-24,221 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? | Other | 3 | $11.5K | +$11.5K |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | 2 | $8,788 | +$1,212 |
| 0x9f8017df | — | 1 | $8,640 | +$8,640 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $6,030 | +$6,030 |
| 0x0e3449f2 | — | 2 | $4,801 | +$4,801 |
| 0xeb517746 | — | 1 | $4,441 | +$4,441 |
| Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime? | Other | 1 | $3,988 | +$3,988 |
| 0x2f606126 | — | 1 | $3,960 | $-3,960 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $3,600 | $-3,600 |
| 0xf6f12a1e | — | 1 | $3,286 | +$3,286 |
| 0x9ff95e36 | — | 1 | $3,197 | $-3,197 |
| 0x63907312 | — | 1 | $2,494 | +$2,494 |
| 0x4b602ea0 | — | 1 | $1,908 | +$1,908 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? | Other | 1 | $1,869 | +$1,869 |
| 0xf3180f0f | — | 1 | $1,716 | +$1,716 |