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Nihaww

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc452…7234 with our methodology badges per row.

0xc452bc4c4ffb4e17a141ac9d49b79d87dedf7234·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
-53%
historical realized
Win rate
30.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$55.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 15 resolved trades · -53% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
18
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$79.5K
avg $4,416 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$41.4K / $38.1K
net direction

Recent trades

last 18 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 12:47 AMWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY NO0.620$8,840Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 12:46 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.999$20.5K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:24 AMLamine Yamal: 2+ shotsBUY YES0.710$1,297Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 02:00 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.416$1,040— (SELL)
Jul 16, 10:05 AMWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY NO0.823$14.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 01:37 AMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?SELL YES0.790$8,052— (SELL)
Jun 26, 11:24 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.580$5,912
Jun 26, 04:46 PMErling Haaland: 1+ shotsBUY YES0.689$3,321Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 08:46 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$1,750Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 07:50 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.083$1,702— (SELL)
Jun 3, 09:36 PM0xa7bb77d6BUY YES0.576$1,471
May 30, 09:31 PMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.052$1,080Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 09:31 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.086$1,800Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 09:30 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.090$1,900Killed band — neutral expectation
May 30, 02:36 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.090$1,852— (SELL)
May 30, 12:46 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.085$1,748— (SELL)
May 30, 12:46 PMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.051$1,049— (SELL)
May 13, 10:58 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.580$2,190— (SELL)

Markets active in

10 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Other2$22.8K+$22.8K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech1$20.5K$-20,488
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Tech2$14.0K$-2,141
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other4$7,205+$95
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$4,588$-988
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsOther1$3,321+$3,321
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$2,190$-2,190
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$2,129+$31
0xa7bb77d61$1,471+$1,471
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsOther1$1,297+$1,297