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machbut

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc2de…6781 with our methodology badges per row.

0xc2de93c744f3406ff4a67623913d3c6df4116781·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
no rep computed yet
PnL per $
historical realized
Win rate
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. No reputation snapshot yet — wallet is new or hasn't traded enough resolved markets.

Trades (90d)
29
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$141.5K
avg $4,878 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$59.8K / $81.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 29 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 10, 03:43 AMWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.852$7,573Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 03:43 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.622$16.3K— (SELL)
Jun 9, 07:52 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.621$5,629— (SELL)
Jun 9, 07:51 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.622$4,593— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:54 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.620$3,767— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:31 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.622$5,572— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:29 PMWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.853$2,555Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 05:29 PMWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY NO0.852$2,481Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 05:28 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.622$4,244— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:27 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.623$8,490— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:27 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.624$5,565— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:27 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.625$1,057— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:34 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.620$5,799— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:34 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.620$3,956— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:34 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.625$1,037— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:34 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.626$1,352— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:33 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.627$2,112— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:33 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL NO0.628$2,536— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:32 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.630$1,040— (SELL)
Jun 9, 05:32 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.631$8,568— (SELL)
Jun 3, 03:51 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.361$4,131Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:50 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.360$1,456Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:50 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.359$8,401Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:49 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.358$3,928Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:49 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.356$6,447Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:49 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.355$13.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:49 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.355$2,037Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:49 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.354$2,488Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 03:49 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.353$5,338Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

3 markets · sorted by volume