Back to whale feed
ningquewulan123
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc1fd…ba6c with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-19%
historical realized
Win rate
77.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$14.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -19% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$75.5K
avg $12.6K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$11.0K / $64.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 05:04 PM | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL YES | 0.830 | $17.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 05:58 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $3,123 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 02:33 AM | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $8,485 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 02:32 AM | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.926 | $35.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 01:54 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,393 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 01:54 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.961 | $9,583 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Crypto | 1 | $35.6K | $-35,638 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | 1 | $17.3K | $-17,284 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Other | 3 | $14.1K | +$7,853 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | 1 | $8,485 | $-8,485 |