Back to whale feed

lukibazdonauki754

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc0f8…ae2e with our methodology badges per row.

0xc0f89d4e30b3ab40ab1f1979ebdcf8a02c39ae2e·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
20
lifetime
PnL per $
-57%
historical realized
Win rate
29.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$74.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 20 resolved trades · -57% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
46
Distinct markets
23
Volume (90d)
$148.4K
avg $3,225 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$129.0K / $19.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 46 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 15, 09:09 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.704$1,402Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:09 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.695$5,132Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:08 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.706$8,436Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:07 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.294$2,383— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:07 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.706$10.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:07 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.689$9,290Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:06 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.692$7,839Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:06 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.286$3,201— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:55 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.281$1,227— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:44 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.650$3,165Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:39 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.566$1,002
Jul 15, 08:30 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.549$2,816
Jul 15, 08:23 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.550$1,545
Jul 15, 08:16 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.580$1,702
Jul 15, 08:15 PMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.531$1,774
Jul 15, 10:12 AMWill Macarthur FC win on 2026-07-22?BUY YES0.916$7,111Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 10:08 PMFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY NO0.670$1,546Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 08:23 PMNorway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY NO0.670$3,702Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 10:39 AMWill Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?BUY NO0.241$1,546Cheap band — no rep
Jun 8, 06:58 AMWill Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?BUY YES0.960$5,012Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 12:53 PMWill Mauritania win on 2026-06-08?BUY NO0.520$1,979
Jun 5, 06:19 AMWill Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?BUY NO0.850$1,232Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 05:45 PM0x3de9f07dSELL NO0.999$1,998— (SELL)
May 31, 05:41 PM0x3de9f07dSELL NO0.999$1,998— (SELL)
May 31, 03:10 PM0x3de9f07dBUY NO0.500$2,422
May 31, 03:06 PMWill Austria win on 2026-06-11?SELL NO0.979$1,231— (SELL)
May 31, 02:55 PM0xf1380a52SELL YES0.967$1,450— (SELL)
May 31, 02:53 PM0x3de9f07dBUY NO0.620$1,240Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 02:51 PM0x3de9f07dBUY NO0.660$2,200Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 02:50 PM0x3de9f07dBUY NO0.600$1,500
May 31, 02:48 PM0x3de9f07dBUY NO0.550$1,375
May 31, 10:57 AM0x87f369f8SELL NO0.999$1,499— (SELL)
May 31, 06:36 AM0xbcd6d437BUY YES0.913$1,644Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 06:20 AM0xf1380a52BUY YES0.809$2,113Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 08:18 PM0x54c4fe2dSELL YES0.999$1,459— (SELL)
May 30, 08:18 PM0x54c4fe2dSELL YES0.999$1,613— (SELL)
May 30, 02:07 PM0x54c4fe2dBUY YES0.989$8,404Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 01:43 PM0x88bb1769BUY YES0.930$4,998Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 03:38 AM0xd20550c6BUY YES0.613$2,037Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 03:20 PM0xb3dd051bSELL NO0.970$1,301— (SELL)
May 19, 05:58 PM0xb3dd051bBUY NO0.949$1,555Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 05:57 PM0x5d075129BUY NO0.908$1,930Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 05:56 PM0x2bd767a5BUY YES0.940$4,107Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 02:18 PM0x8ce7af15BUY NO0.990$10.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 01:31 PM0xd83c3950BUY NO0.919$1,199Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 02:26 PM0x618a641fBUY NO0.990$5,049Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

23 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other6$44.8K+$44.8K
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other9$17.1K+$3,430
0x3de9f07d7$12.7K+$4,741
0x54c4fe2d3$11.5K+$5,332
0x8ce7af151$10.1K+$10.1K
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-07-22?Other1$7,111+$7,111
0x618a641f1$5,049+$5,049
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?Tech1$5,012+$5,012
0x88bb17691$4,998+$4,998
0x2bd767a51$4,107+$4,107
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfOther1$3,702+$3,702
0xf1380a522$3,563+$662
0xb3dd051b2$2,857+$254
0xd20550c61$2,037+$2,037
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08?Other1$1,979+$1,979
0x5d0751291$1,930+$1,930
0xbcd6d4371$1,644+$1,644
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfOther1$1,546+$1,546
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?Other1$1,546+$1,546
0x87f369f81$1,499$-1,499
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Other1$1,232+$1,232
Will Austria win on 2026-06-11?Other1$1,231$-1,231
0xd83c39501$1,199+$1,199