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ksiangz97

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xc06d…485b with our methodology badges per row.

0xc06d8c3553276da966eeae79d2a226a74a2a485b·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
15
lifetime
PnL per $
+160%
historical realized
Win rate
70.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$32.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
30
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$55.8K
avg $1,859 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$31.1K / $24.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 30 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 02:07 PMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$2,497Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 11:01 PMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.895$7,033— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:16 PMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.911$1,100Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:15 PMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.910$1,101Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:12 PMWill Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.984$1,132— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:10 PMCuban regime falls in 2026?SELL NO0.851$1,971— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:09 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL NO0.930$1,351— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:56 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL NO0.930$1,351— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:31 PMCuban regime falls in 2026?SELL NO0.870$1,305— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:30 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL NO0.930$1,256— (SELL)
Jul 10, 07:55 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.818$2,536Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 06:17 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.825$1,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:43 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL NO0.948$2,749— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:21 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.834$1,668Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 12:21 PMWill Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.920$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 03:57 PMWill Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.933$1,250Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 01:38 PMWill Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.937$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 11:41 AMWorld Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?BUY NO0.951$2,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 06:57 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY NO0.870$1,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 06:56 PMWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?SELL NO0.852$1,200— (SELL)
Jun 2, 10:27 PMWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY NO0.959$1,350Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:29 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY NO0.860$2,477Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 09:41 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL NO0.850$1,275— (SELL)
May 20, 05:49 AMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL NO0.850$1,063— (SELL)
May 19, 03:44 AMCuban regime falls in 2026?BUY NO0.800$1,381Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 11:14 AMCuban regime falls in 2026?BUY NO0.810$1,458Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:26 PMWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?SELL YES0.991$1,899— (SELL)
May 15, 06:27 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY NO0.860$2,150Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 07:22 AM0x9f1b7421SELL NO0.990$1,079— (SELL)
May 12, 09:11 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY NO0.840$1,932Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

10 markets · sorted by volume