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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xbdb0…f8ba with our methodology badges per row.

0xbdb0e406400033ada6ffe03f8915b5e23873f8ba·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+5%

historical realized

Win rate

93.5%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$1.09M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 51 resolved trades · 5% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.35M

avg $16.0K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$1.28M / $66.3K

net direction

Recent trades

last 84 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 06:08 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.740	$8,840	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 03:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.738	$27.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:14 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.713	$5,699	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:12 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.710	$3,292	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:27 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.878	$1,892	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:26 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.971	$17.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:44 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.845	$11.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:31 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.848	$3,225	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 06:11 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.750	$3,923	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 06:09 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.750	$15.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 05:59 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.750	$15.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 04:22 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	BUY NO	0.840	$25.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 04:22 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.870	$77.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:28 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.740	$7,844	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:27 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.740	$10.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 07:27 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.740	$10.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 02:44 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.930	$41.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:48 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	BUY NO	0.974	$1,599	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:47 PM	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	BUY NO	0.973	$5,019	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:26 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.820	$54.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:17 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.820	$8,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 09:04 PM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.960	$10.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 07:40 PM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.960	$94.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:30 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.830	$4,150	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:28 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.830	$51.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 07:14 PM	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.963	$16.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 07:14 PM	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.963	$49.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 07:14 PM	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.963	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 07:16 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.910	$7,072	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 06:15 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.917	$29.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:50 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.950	$16.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:49 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.950	$42.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:42 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.950	$19.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 08:35 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.930	$31.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 04:23 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.930	$70.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 03:59 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.740	$23.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:50 PM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.910	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 12:59 PM	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	BUY NO	0.730	$10.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:02 PM	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.880	$9,680	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:55 PM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	BUY NO	0.950	$18.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:55 PM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	BUY NO	0.950	$20.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:55 PM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	BUY NO	0.950	$11.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 07:18 PM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.900	$9,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 07:10 PM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.910	$3,304	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 06:43 PM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.900	$8,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 03:28 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.890	$1,210	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 03:19 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.964	$28.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 01:22 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.964	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 07:09 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY NO	0.490	$1,470	—
Jun 11, 07:16 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.970	$24.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:42 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.900	$14.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 06:16 AM	0x3e166e94	BUY NO	0.919	$5,109	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 03:42 PM	0x42cb3a3e	BUY NO	0.988	$15.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:48 PM	0xacb2a277	BUY NO	0.880	$2,031	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 03:41 PM	0xcf4e906f	BUY NO	0.895	$10.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:48 PM	0x79985965	BUY NO	0.880	$4,312	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 06:05 PM	0xbf7a0140	BUY NO	0.870	$14.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:26 PM	0xf9ca7850	BUY YES	0.860	$10.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:25 PM	0xd8bffd08	BUY NO	0.945	$8,605	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:23 PM	0xd8bffd08	BUY NO	0.942	$2,288	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:51 PM	0x8d6e90b6	SELL NO	0.990	$1,573	— (SELL)
May 20, 07:11 PM	0x8d6e90b6	BUY NO	0.870	$5,977	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 05:49 PM	0xbb4f0756	BUY NO	0.810	$18.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 05:36 PM	0x8bcd5757	BUY NO	0.890	$6,126	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 04:19 PM	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL NO	0.700	$14.6K	— (SELL)
May 17, 05:13 AM	0xda2837c9	BUY NO	0.910	$5,303	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:00 PM	0xd3d7cc44	BUY YES	0.820	$21.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 06:59 PM	0x826e0c65	SELL NO	0.920	$20.6K	— (SELL)
May 16, 06:34 PM	0x826e0c65	BUY NO	0.940	$1,839	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 04:40 PM	0x1034399e	BUY NO	0.800	$1,147	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 04:15 PM	0x1034399e	BUY NO	0.780	$2,407	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 07:29 PM	0x457a2dfc	BUY NO	0.920	$12.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 06:43 PM	0x35fc680d	BUY NO	0.860	$1,586	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 06:14 PM	0xc682efb2	BUY NO	0.897	$1,078	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 05:59 PM	0xdc576ff6	BUY NO	0.830	$9,130	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 05:35 PM	0x910f3915	SELL NO	0.999	$22.5K	— (SELL)
May 10, 03:36 PM	0x910f3915	BUY NO	0.850	$2,125	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 12:09 PM	0x910f3915	BUY NO	0.860	$2,150	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 06:25 PM	0x52277d4a	BUY NO	0.900	$4,876	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 06:16 PM	0xe204b607	BUY YES	0.930	$1,557	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 06:10 PM	0x6de01b11	SELL NO	0.999	$6,965	— (SELL)
May 9, 05:51 PM	0xea37927a	BUY YES	0.860	$4,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 07:48 AM	0x6de01b11	BUY NO	0.890	$8,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 07:53 PM	0xc852a4d9	BUY NO	0.910	$1,413	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

54 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Other	2	$105.4K	+$105.4K
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Other	2	$101.9K	+$101.9K
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Other	2	$78.9K	+$78.9K
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Other	3	$77.9K	+$77.9K
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Other	1	$77.7K	+$77.7K
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Other	3	$76.7K	+$76.7K
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Other	2	$62.3K	+$62.3K
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Other	2	$55.6K	+$55.6K
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Other	1	$50.0K	+$50.0K
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Other	3	$50.0K	+$50.0K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Other	1	$41.4K	+$41.4K
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Other	2	$38.7K	+$38.7K
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Other	2	$36.5K	+$36.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Other	2	$35.8K	+$35.8K
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Other	3	$34.7K	+$34.7K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Other	3	$29.3K	+$29.3K
0x910f3915	—	3	$26.8K	$-18,202
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Other	1	$25.2K	+$25.2K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	Other	1	$23.7K	+$23.7K
0x826e0c65	—	2	$22.5K	$-18,806
0xd3d7cc44	—	1	$21.0K	+$21.0K
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Other	3	$20.9K	+$20.9K
0xbb4f0756	—	1	$18.6K	+$18.6K
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Other	1	$17.3K	+$17.3K
0x6de01b11	—	2	$15.9K	+$1,935
0x42cb3a3e	—	1	$15.8K	+$15.8K
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Other	1	$14.6K	$-14,629
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Other	2	$14.3K	+$14.3K
0xbf7a0140	—	1	$14.1K	+$14.1K
0x457a2dfc	—	1	$12.9K	+$12.9K

Showing top 30 by volume.