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joshyuen
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xbcf3…1daf with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-30%
historical realized
Win rate
34.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$67.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -30% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
9
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$67.5K
avg $7,501 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$54.7K / $12.8K
net direction
Recent trades
last 9 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:05 PM | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL NO | 0.256 | $12.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 05:18 PM | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.685 | $34.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 05:57 PM | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $2,310 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 06:03 PM | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.362 | $2,538 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 06:03 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.310 | $2,170 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 05:58 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.313 | $3,125 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 05:54 PM | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.362 | $3,625 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 06:10 AM | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.352 | $3,525 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 15, 06:09 AM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.318 | $3,175 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Tech | 2 | $47.0K | +$21.5K |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? | Other | 3 | $9,688 | +$9,688 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | Other | 3 | $8,470 | +$8,470 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $2,310 | +$2,310 |