| Jul 14, 01:17 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $32.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 09:31 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $8,444 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 06:15 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.178 | $3,156 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 06:14 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.322 | $3,008 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 03:42 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.329 | $3,072 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 03:42 AM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.185 | $3,280 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 12:11 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.351 | $5,265 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 11:40 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | SELL YES | 0.500 | $1,744 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 12:22 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.194 | $3,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 08:16 AM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 04:00 AM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 08:14 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 08:13 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $25.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 08:13 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $6,338 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 11:16 AM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.978 | $19.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 11:15 AM | Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.830 | $1,184 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 09:16 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 28, 09:15 AM | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.955 | $2,998 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 03:46 AM | Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $10.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 28, 03:45 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $7,992 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 04:31 PM | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | SELL YES | 0.850 | $2,040 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 08:40 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $4,990 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 27, 08:33 AM | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | BUY YES | 0.850 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 07:50 AM | Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $3,552 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 05:48 AM | Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $1,680 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 05:47 AM | Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $1,608 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 05:46 AM | Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $3,540 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 05:46 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 05:37 AM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $9,690 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 05:37 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $9,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 05:37 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 05:36 AM | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $9,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 01:04 AM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $7,523 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 01:03 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $9,970 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 26, 01:01 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $9,970 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 03:47 PM | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $2,002 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 10:17 AM | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $2,047 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:18 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $2,807 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:18 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $15.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:20 AM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $2,877 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:36 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $30.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:36 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $18.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:23 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $12.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:23 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $17.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:16 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $12.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:19 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:19 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $2,976 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:18 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 01:18 PM | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $2,976 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 02:27 PM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.998 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 02:26 PM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.998 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 06:48 AM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.998 | $1,746 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 06:48 AM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.998 | $8,234 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 08:47 AM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.998 | $15.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 08:45 AM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.998 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 03:18 PM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.997 | $19.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 03:17 PM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.997 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 07:16 AM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.997 | $8,973 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 01:21 PM | 0x4f61a39a | SELL NO | 0.995 | $5,323 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 01:17 PM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $5,489 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 06:15 PM | 0x0220e320 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $24.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 03:07 PM | 0xd8617701 | SELL NO | 0.956 | $8,604 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 11:33 AM | 0x6fa13f31 | SELL YES | 0.520 | $1,560 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 10:25 AM | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.980 | $2,445 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 03:57 PM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.987 | $1,365 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 03:55 PM | 0x40e923d7 | SELL NO | 0.936 | $1,871 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 03:55 PM | 0x40e923d7 | SELL NO | 0.939 | $2,818 | — (SELL) |