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infolitio

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xaf28…7f92 with our methodology badges per row.

0xaf2830f2dd4dfa32e3dffac60531bb4ba5147f92·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
10
lifetime
PnL per $
+27%
historical realized
Win rate
75.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$57.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$104.3K
avg $6,135 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$94.5K / $9,830
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 16, 05:22 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.360$1,123Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 16, 05:10 PMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY YES0.240$32.4KConviction tier
Jul 16, 12:17 AMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY YES0.210$3,723Conviction tier
Jul 12, 10:07 PMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY YES0.170$3,660Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 10:07 PMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL NO0.830$2,490— (SELL)
Jul 12, 10:02 PMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY YES0.059$2,612Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 07:18 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.200$3,000— (SELL)
Jun 11, 10:35 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY YES0.142$4,259Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 10:14 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY YES0.200$3,700Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 10:12 PM0x6114a8a3BUY YES0.320$1,046Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 10:50 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.009$1,922
Jun 8, 10:49 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.070$5,003Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 4, 12:08 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.998$33.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:40 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.900$1,656— (SELL)
May 25, 10:27 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.910$1,506— (SELL)
May 15, 12:04 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.450$1,575
May 13, 02:09 AMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.420$1,178— (SELL)

Markets active in

9 markets · sorted by volume