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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xaca5…0561 with our methodology badges per row.

0xaca58740c62099a84df71ffabdc551317b990561·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
+175%
historical realized
Win rate
19.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$20.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
12
Distinct markets
1
Volume (90d)
$20.8K
avg $1,736 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$16.8K / $4,066
net direction

Recent trades

last 12 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 02:38 PMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,235Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 02:37 PMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 02:37 PMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 02:37 PMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 11:05 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,275Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 11:05 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,275Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 11:05 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,275Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 11:04 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,275Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 11:04 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.918$1,275Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 11:04 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.917$1,275Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:32 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.929$4,066— (SELL)
Jul 18, 02:26 AMWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.910$3,982Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

1 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other12$20.8K+$12.7K