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CryptoFortunate
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xac48…2feb with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
-37%
historical realized
Win rate
61.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$13.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · -37% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
7
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$122.4K
avg $17.5K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$117.2K / $5,124
net direction
Recent trades
last 7 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 10:28 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $30.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 10:43 PM | Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $5,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 10:07 PM | Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.969 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 09:13 PM | 0xd4cb184e | SELL YES | 0.999 | $5,124 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 12:36 AM | 0xd4cb184e | BUY YES | 0.975 | $1,258 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 05:15 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $29.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 05:13 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $50.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Other | 2 | $79.0K | +$79.0K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Other | 1 | $30.0K | +$30.0K |
| 0xd4cb184e | — | 2 | $6,382 | $-3,866 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | Other | 1 | $5,000 | +$5,000 |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $2,000 | +$2,000 |