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HBAFlover98

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xac47…d234 with our methodology badges per row.

0xac4773707daddd3792efed5a91f5ec7651a7d234·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
52
lifetime
PnL per $
-5%
historical realized
Win rate
59.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$449.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 52 resolved trades · -5% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
88
Distinct markets
40
Volume (90d)
$614.2K
avg $6,980 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$556.3K / $57.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 88 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 07:47 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.639$30.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:44 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.619$26.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 10:19 AMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.520$22.6K
Jul 14, 03:09 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.600$46.4K
Jul 11, 06:10 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY YES0.230$1,119Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 05:56 PMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY YES0.160$1,280Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 01:25 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY YES0.220$2,420Cheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 12:33 PMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY YES0.150$1,399Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 04:20 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.024$1,500— (SELL)
Jul 2, 04:20 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.025$1,710— (SELL)
Jul 2, 04:19 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.020$2,623— (SELL)
Jul 2, 04:19 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.035$4,038— (SELL)
Jul 2, 04:19 AMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.027$3,528— (SELL)
Jul 1, 12:42 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?BUY NO0.780$37.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:37 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.022$1,500
Jun 27, 08:02 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$3,000
Jun 26, 01:39 AMWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?BUY NO0.600$20.8K
Jun 26, 01:15 AMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.370$4,444Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 10:03 PMWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.006$1,500
Jun 25, 05:26 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.653$17.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:30 AMWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?BUY YES0.183$2,762Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 03:23 AMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.830$10.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:04 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.365$7,142Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 03:03 AMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.355$4,549Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 03:59 AMWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.600$5,217
Jun 23, 03:17 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.013$1,500
Jun 23, 12:12 AMNorway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$7,050
Jun 22, 10:56 PMFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.210$2,203Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 10:30 PMFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.200$1,218Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 09:38 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.690$19.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:17 PMWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.004$1,500
Jun 22, 04:22 PMWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY NO0.780$21.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:34 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.720$32.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:37 AMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$1,500
Jun 22, 01:46 AMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.520$3,923
Jun 21, 04:48 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.054$1,419Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:55 PMWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.007$1,500
Jun 20, 09:55 PMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.024$1,500
Jun 20, 09:45 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY NO0.400$3,200Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:29 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?BUY NO0.450$4,500
Jun 13, 03:38 AMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY NO0.750$5,993Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 03:37 AMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY NO0.750$2,250Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 03:36 AMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY NO0.750$4,875Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 03:36 AMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY NO0.750$18.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:53 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.470$14.6K
Jun 12, 10:34 PMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.460$24.4K
Jun 12, 04:02 AMWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.004$3,500
Jun 7, 06:55 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.015$3,500
Jun 7, 06:55 AMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$3,500
Jun 7, 06:53 AMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.039$1,528— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:53 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.055$1,533— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:53 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.026$1,532— (SELL)
Jun 7, 06:53 AMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.020$1,526— (SELL)
Jun 6, 03:24 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.026$5,000
Jun 6, 03:23 PMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.054$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 2, 01:54 AMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.037$5,000
Jun 2, 01:54 AMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.018$4,855
Jun 1, 09:51 AM0x5c7ed14eBUY NO0.450$2,700
May 31, 04:57 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.700$2,800Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:52 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.690$2,415Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:46 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.690$2,719Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:44 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.690$1,380Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:44 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.690$5,661Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:39 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$1,360Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:39 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$2,720Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:38 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$1,010Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:37 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$1,360Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:37 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$3,400Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:37 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$2,040Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:36 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$3,060Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:36 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$1,360Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:36 AM0xb03a0863BUY NO0.680$6,800Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 03:27 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY NO0.710$15.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 03:20 PM0x9bffa2fdBUY YES0.520$2,340
May 30, 03:19 PM0x9bffa2fdBUY YES0.520$2,340
May 30, 03:19 PM0x9bffa2fdBUY YES0.520$3,640
May 30, 03:18 PM0x9bffa2fdBUY YES0.520$1,040
May 30, 03:18 PM0x9bffa2fdBUY YES0.520$1,040
May 30, 03:18 PM0x9bffa2fdBUY YES0.520$1,040
May 30, 03:17 PM0x9bffa2fdBUY YES0.520$1,040
May 30, 03:17 PM0x9bffa2fdBUY YES0.520$6,240
May 10, 04:27 PM0xf0c46231SELL NO0.999$38.4K— (SELL)
May 10, 02:40 PM0xa0dbcc57BUY NO0.720$1,539Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 02:39 PM0xa0dbcc57BUY NO0.720$3,600Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 02:34 PM0xa0dbcc57BUY NO0.710$1,270Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 02:33 PM0xa0dbcc57BUY NO0.710$1,775Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 01:26 PM0xf0c46231BUY NO0.570$2,121
May 10, 01:20 PM0xf0c46231BUY NO0.580$16.9K

Markets active in

40 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
0xf0c462313$57.4K$-19,421
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreTech2$56.7K+$56.7K
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Other2$51.6K+$51.6K
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$46.4K+$46.4K
0xb03a086314$38.1K+$38.1K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Other1$37.6K+$37.6K
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Other4$31.9K+$31.9K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Other3$29.3K+$29.3K
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$24.4K+$24.4K
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$22.6K+$22.6K
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Other1$21.9K+$21.9K
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Other1$20.8K+$20.8K
0x9bffa2fd8$18.7K+$18.7K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Tech1$15.5K+$15.5K
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other1$14.6K+$14.6K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Other1$10.3K+$10.3K
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$10.0K+$2,972
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$9,156+$844
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$9,038+$962
0xa0dbcc574$8,183+$8,183
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$7,952+$4,886
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$7,881+$4,829
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$7,050+$7,050
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Crypto2$6,528+$3,472
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?Other1$5,217+$5,217
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Other1$4,500+$4,500
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?Other1$4,444+$4,444
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Other1$3,923+$3,923
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfOther2$3,539+$3,539
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$3,500+$3,500

Showing top 30 by volume.