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Feromont

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xabb8…bba3 with our methodology badges per row.

0xabb89972b21b304c1bed2bf26f35c8741ac9bba3·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
81
lifetime
PnL per $
-5%
historical realized
Win rate
53.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.35M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 81 resolved trades · -5% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
110
Distinct markets
52
Volume (90d)
$1.67M
avg $15.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.12M / $555.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 110 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:00 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?SELL YES0.264$12.4K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 08:58 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?SELL YES0.293$2,948— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:41 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.413$2,072
Jul 19, 07:34 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.425$3,323
Jul 19, 07:25 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.457$7,000
Jul 19, 07:24 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.453$16.3K
Jul 15, 07:01 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.352$2,155Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 07:01 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.347$25.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 12:29 AMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY YES0.282$20.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 11, 11:43 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL YES0.998$126.3K— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:40 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.492$4,526
Jul 11, 10:37 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.472$1,847
Jul 11, 10:35 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.468$2,623
Jul 11, 10:35 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.465$2,709
Jul 11, 10:33 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.453$22.6K
Jul 11, 10:29 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.447$6,676
Jul 11, 10:28 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.437$7,437
Jul 11, 10:26 PMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.417$3,457
Jul 11, 10:25 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.367$5,394— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:24 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.383$1,522— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:21 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?SELL YES0.383$2,732— (SELL)
Jul 10, 06:57 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.247$30.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 9, 09:05 PMExact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?BUY YES0.110$1,200Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 05:57 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL YES0.920$54.6K— (SELL)
Jul 7, 03:58 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY YES0.740$60.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 09:44 PMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$2,429Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 09:44 PMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$1,584Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 09:44 PMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$1,400Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 09:44 PMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$2,065Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 09:44 PMWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY YES0.290$12.8KCheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 07:36 PMExact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?BUY YES0.160$2,626Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 06:58 PMWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY YES0.280$10.0KCheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 03:03 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?SELL YES0.930$61.2K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:01 AMWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.280$1,400Cheap band — no rep
Jul 6, 01:53 AMWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY YES0.280$15.1KCheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 10:15 PMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.380$58.7KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:15 PMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.380$9,931Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:15 PMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.380$31.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 08:18 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.550$10.2K
Jul 5, 08:16 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.540$6,007
Jul 5, 08:12 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?SELL YES0.710$9,921— (SELL)
Jul 5, 08:09 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.510$10,000
Jul 5, 08:03 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?SELL YES0.510$11.6K— (SELL)
Jul 5, 08:01 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.540$7,711
Jul 3, 08:52 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.860$25.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 08:00 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?SELL NO0.999$40.6K— (SELL)
Jul 3, 07:21 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?SELL NO0.720$6,745— (SELL)
Jul 3, 05:58 PMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY NO0.620$31.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 03:35 AMWill Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY YES0.220$7,523Cheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 11:13 PMExact Score: United States 0 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?BUY YES0.060$2,080Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 11:10 PMExact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?BUY YES0.100$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 05:45 PMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?SELL YES0.560$2,541— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:34 PMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?SELL YES0.350$10.7K— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:30 PMWill England win on 2026-07-01?SELL YES0.210$5,225— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:21 PMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY YES0.360$7,430Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 05:08 PMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY YES0.320$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 04:25 PMWill England win on 2026-07-01?SELL YES0.470$18.8K— (SELL)
Jul 1, 04:12 PMWill England win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.570$22.2K
Jul 1, 03:54 PMWill England win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.760$60.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 01:25 AMWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY NO0.640$12.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 07:15 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.770$38.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 07:03 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?SELL YES0.999$9,990— (SELL)
Jun 30, 06:07 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.650$6,500Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 04:00 AMWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$30.0K— (SELL)
Jun 29, 09:23 PMWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY YES0.320$9,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 09:21 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?SELL YES0.390$11.7K— (SELL)
Jun 29, 08:30 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.730$21.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 06:28 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.060$1,107Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 06:22 PMWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?SELL YES0.410$10.2K— (SELL)
Jun 29, 05:48 PMWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY YES0.320$1,875Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 28, 07:15 PMWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$2,970Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 12:58 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.830$27.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 12:58 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.830$5,343Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:55 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.430$4,300
Jun 26, 11:54 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.430$4,300
Jun 26, 06:58 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.810$38.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 11:29 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.460$46.0K
Jun 25, 08:17 PMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.900$18.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:57 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.831$41.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:55 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.829$19.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 09:00 PMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.390$3,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 08:59 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.500$6,000
Jun 24, 08:58 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.820$30.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 08:57 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.750$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:00 PMWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$4,795Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 24, 06:59 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY YES0.690$21.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:42 AMExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?SELL YES0.590$1,708— (SELL)
Jun 24, 03:02 AMExact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo?SELL YES0.070$1,110— (SELL)
Jun 24, 02:57 AMExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?BUY YES0.280$4,480Cheap band — no rep
Jun 24, 02:57 AMExact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo?BUY YES0.080$1,269Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 23, 04:55 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.860$30.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 07:24 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.580$10,000
Jun 22, 07:22 PMWill France win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.910$52.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:58 PMExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?BUY YES0.220$2,200Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 08:00 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?SELL YES0.200$2,203— (SELL)
Jun 20, 07:12 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$22.7KCheap band — no rep
May 30, 06:07 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$83.3K— (SELL)
May 30, 05:57 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL YES0.830$12.4K— (SELL)
May 30, 04:00 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY YES0.300$12.0KCheap band — no rep
May 30, 05:23 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL YES0.350$1,821— (SELL)
May 29, 07:18 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY YES0.380$1,977Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 10:38 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL YES0.640$1,495— (SELL)
May 23, 06:23 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY YES0.506$1,148
May 19, 07:20 PM0x053f9573SELL YES0.290$8,700— (SELL)
May 19, 06:44 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL YES0.260$1,671— (SELL)
May 19, 06:39 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL YES0.280$1,124— (SELL)
May 19, 06:28 PM0x053f9573BUY YES0.600$18.0K
May 19, 07:39 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY YES0.310$2,513Killed band — neutral expectation
May 8, 08:29 PM0x404f12bbSELL YES0.999$4,995— (SELL)
May 8, 06:30 PM0x404f12bbBUY YES0.560$2,800

Markets active in

52 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Other9$178.2K$-74,402
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Other4$161.2K+$38.8K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Other2$114.6K+$5,359
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Tech3$107.7K$-83,771
Will England win on 2026-07-01?Other4$107.1K+$59.0K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Other3$78.3K$-16,321
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Other2$61.4K+$61.4K
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other6$55.4K+$12.3K
Will France win on 2026-06-22?Other1$52.0K+$52.0K
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Other1$46.0K+$46.0K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Tech6$44.0K+$13.3K
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?Crypto2$39.6K$-20,370
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Other1$38.9K+$38.9K
Will France win on 2026-06-30?Other1$38.5K+$38.5K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Other2$33.6K+$10.2K
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Other2$33.2K+$33.2K
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Tech1$30.0K+$30.0K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Other1$30.0K+$30.0K
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Other1$30.0K+$30.0K
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Other2$27.2K+$27.2K
0x053f95732$26.7K+$9,300
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Other1$25.8K+$25.8K
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Other4$25.7K$-842
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Other2$24.9K+$20.5K
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?Other1$21.4K+$21.4K
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Other5$20.3K+$20.3K
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Crypto1$18.0K+$18.0K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Other2$16.5K$-3,490

Showing top 30 by volume.