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lazercrazer
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xab8f…06d6 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
-21%
historical realized
Win rate
34.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$27.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · -21% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$73.4K
avg $12.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$33.7K / $39.7K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 06:12 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.263 | $15.9K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 8, 02:23 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.352 | $7,398 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 02:23 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.373 | $14.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 03:57 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.226 | $7,289 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 03:57 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.382 | $10.5K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 03:53 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.826 | $17.8K | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
3 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Tech | 4 | $39.7K | $-4,060 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Tech | 1 | $17.8K | $-17,821 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 1 | $15.9K | +$15.9K |