0xaA0E2d9E050184ae1F85667EcB3f1C0af5222A0E-1780513177926

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xaa0e…2a0e with our methodology badges per row.

0xaa0e2d9e050184ae1f85667ecb3f1c0af5222a0e·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

+48%

historical realized

Win rate

37.2%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$611.4K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$637.0K

avg $8,167 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$388.8K / $248.2K

net direction

Recent trades

last 78 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 08:46 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.846	$8,464	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.743	$7,425	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:53 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.743	$14.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:52 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.743	$7,738	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 03:40 PM	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.603	$1,845	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:04 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL YES	0.998	$9,975	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:56 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.890	$8,903	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL NO	0.093	$1,141	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:28 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL NO	0.900	$5,185	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:26 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL NO	0.901	$48.7K	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:25 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	SELL NO	0.892	$11.6K	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 08:07 PM	England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.747	$1,046	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 05:39 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.690	$31.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 01:04 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.685	$27.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:06 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	SELL YES	0.998	$8,479	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 09:05 PM	France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,011	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 09:05 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	SELL NO	0.999	$1,898	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:43 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	SELL NO	0.065	$1,302	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 06:55 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.700	$17.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 11:02 PM	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.998	$3,777	— (SELL)
Jul 10, 08:06 PM	Spain to score first vs. Belgium?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,499	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 09:30 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	SELL NO	0.990	$14.0K	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 05:11 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	BUY NO	0.863	$25.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:57 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	SELL NO	0.999	$27.9K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 07:57 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.600	$16.7K	—
Jul 7, 05:59 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	SELL NO	0.999	$30.0K	— (SELL)
Jul 7, 04:16 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.790	$4,878	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 06:59 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.510	$30.1K	—
Jul 5, 11:10 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.630	$37.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:49 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	SELL NO	0.300	$4,375	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 07:55 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.810	$51.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 07:55 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.810	$3,441	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 11:04 PM	Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score	SELL NO	0.999	$1,499	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 10:47 PM	Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.899	$1,349	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:57 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.820	$8,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 01:06 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.320	$1,280	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 12:00 AM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,654	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 10:31 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.950	$1,140	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 09:59 PM	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.110	$2,640	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:59 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.860	$20.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 01:06 AM	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	SELL NO	0.998	$33.6K	— (SELL)
Jul 2, 10:47 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.838	$9,380	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 10:33 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	BUY NO	0.835	$18.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 10:34 PM	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.720	$3,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 05:38 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	SELL YES	0.400	$1,224	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 06:12 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	SELL YES	0.630	$1,040	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 10:15 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	SELL YES	0.370	$1,374	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 12:14 PM	Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.760	$3,040	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 12:12 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.590	$1,180	—
Jun 28, 01:37 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.870	$1,392	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:27 AM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.995	$1,766	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 11:07 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.530	$2,809	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 02:07 AM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.720	$1,296	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 02:04 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.820	$1,148	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 01:58 AM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	SELL YES	0.990	$7,227	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 10:26 PM	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.910	$1,039	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 10:03 PM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.460	$1,840	—
Jun 25, 09:24 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.401	$1,203	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 08:07 PM	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.710	$1,136	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:59 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.549	$1,758	—
Jun 25, 12:53 PM	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.580	$1,159	—
Jun 25, 12:52 PM	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.580	$1,044	—
Jun 25, 12:47 AM	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.750	$2,025	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 12:47 AM	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.770	$1,848	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 12:46 AM	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,872	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:19 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.520	$2,080	—
Jun 24, 10:38 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.420	$4,662	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 09:49 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.750	$2,250	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 09:34 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.780	$1,638	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 09:33 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.780	$2,340	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 08:39 PM	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.780	$1,483	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 08:26 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.810	$2,430	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 11:52 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.630	$1,197	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 12:07 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.630	$1,890	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 11:46 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.360	$1,120	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 08:52 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.850	$1,956	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 08:40 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.750	$2,025	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:17 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$3,119	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

50 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Other	8	$143.9K	$-9,185
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Other	3	$61.7K	$-5,486
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Other	3	$59.5K	+$50.7K
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Other	2	$44.6K	$-11,132
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Other	2	$39.8K	+$11.9K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Other	4	$38.5K	+$21.5K
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Other	1	$37.2K	+$37.2K
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Other	2	$34.8K	$-25,092
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Tech	1	$30.1K	+$30.1K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Tech	3	$27.3K	+$7,719
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Other	2	$21.8K	+$19.5K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Other	4	$10.9K	+$1,566
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Other	1	$8,200	+$8,200
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Tech	1	$7,227	$-7,227
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Other	2	$4,294	+$986
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Other	2	$3,981	+$69
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Other	1	$3,777	$-3,777
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Other	2	$3,720	+$24
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Other	1	$3,600	+$3,600
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	1	$3,119	+$3,119
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$3,040	+$3,040
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Other	2	$2,847	$-150
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Other	1	$2,809	$-2,809
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Other	1	$2,430	$-2,430
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Other	2	$2,203	+$2,203
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Other	1	$2,080	+$2,080
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Other	1	$2,025	+$2,025
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Tech	1	$1,898	$-1,898
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Other	1	$1,890	+$1,890
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?	Other	1	$1,845	+$1,845

Showing top 30 by volume.