Back to whale feed
18in36out
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa684…a33f with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
+1%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$9,826
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · 1% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
5
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$27.7K
avg $5,531 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$27.7K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 5 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 04:17 AM | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,007 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 07:32 AM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $3,939 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 09:22 AM | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $13.3K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 03:10 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $4,550 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 04:20 AM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $4,880 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | 1 | $13.3K | +$13.3K |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $4,880 | +$4,880 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Other | 1 | $4,550 | +$4,550 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Other | 1 | $3,939 | +$3,939 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | Politics | 1 | $1,007 | +$1,007 |