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GonTanaka
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa62a…a8ff with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-84%
historical realized
Win rate
15.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$13.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -84% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
13
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$61.1K
avg $4,700 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$30.7K / $30.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 13 · 90d windowMarkets active in
7 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 3 | $12.7K | $-8,745 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Tech | 2 | $10.7K | $-6,710 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | 2 | $10.0K | +$10.0K |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $9,135 | $-9,135 |
| 0x42973552 | — | 1 | $7,389 | +$7,389 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? | Tech | 2 | $7,263 | +$7,263 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 2 | $3,853 | +$171 |