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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa414…75c9 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
+177%
historical realized
Win rate
70.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$15.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.
Trades (90d)
12
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$15.5K
avg $1,296 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$4,536 / $11.0K
net direction
Recent trades
last 12 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 04:04 AM | 0x3b7db2db | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,257 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:37 PM | 0xdeb647fd | BUY YES | 0.995 | $2,193 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 05:06 PM | 0x1b1a75d6 | SELL YES | 0.931 | $1,297 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:35 PM | 0x1b1a75d6 | BUY YES | 0.935 | $1,124 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 03:27 PM | 0x3b7db2db | BUY YES | 0.930 | $1,219 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 09:02 AM | 0x9f8ef513 | SELL YES | 0.840 | $1,046 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:36 AM | 0xc587bda9 | SELL NO | 0.790 | $1,049 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 12:49 PM | 0xdade5642 | SELL YES | 0.950 | $1,152 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 02:36 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.645 | $1,613 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:08 PM | 0x1b1a75d6 | SELL YES | 0.730 | $1,084 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 05:55 AM | 0x1b1a75d6 | SELL YES | 0.650 | $1,449 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 03:26 AM | 0x1b1a75d6 | SELL YES | 0.660 | $1,066 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
7 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1b1a75d6 | — | 5 | $6,020 | $-3,772 |
| 0x3b7db2db | — | 2 | $2,476 | $-38 |
| 0xdeb647fd | — | 1 | $2,193 | +$2,193 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 1 | $1,613 | $-1,612 |
| 0xdade5642 | — | 1 | $1,152 | $-1,152 |
| 0xc587bda9 | — | 1 | $1,049 | $-1,049 |
| 0x9f8ef513 | — | 1 | $1,046 | $-1,046 |