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0xa3FF29e34b23B468b4FF5dBBA28Ad9e56bCd540E-1772658943842

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa3ff…540e with our methodology badges per row.

0xa3ff29e34b23b468b4ff5dbba28ad9e56bcd540e·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
-100%
historical realized
Win rate
0.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$30.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · -100% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
15
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$167.9K
avg $11.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$90.0K / $77.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 15 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 07:03 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.417$10,000
Jul 6, 09:28 PMWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY YES0.370$3,963Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 09:28 PMWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY YES0.400$6,037
Jul 1, 09:59 PMWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY YES0.597$10.0K
Jul 1, 09:55 PMPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY NO0.880$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:52 PMWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL NO0.186$7,568— (SELL)
Jun 27, 12:29 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.185$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 12:29 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.217$5,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 23, 11:08 AMWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL NO0.254$3,262— (SELL)
May 27, 09:31 PMPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL NO0.982$10.3K— (SELL)
May 15, 01:58 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.850$27.6K— (SELL)
May 15, 01:58 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.850$1,356— (SELL)
May 15, 01:58 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.850$13.2K— (SELL)
May 15, 01:58 PMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.850$8,415— (SELL)
May 15, 01:57 PMTrump out as President before 2027?SELL NO0.880$6,243— (SELL)

Markets active in

9 markets · sorted by volume