SAPolitcsSeer

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa30e…49d5 with our methodology badges per row.

0xa30e451354cb41cfd46689a065defed989ea49d5·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-2%

historical realized

Win rate

94.7%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$955.0K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 71 resolved trades · -2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

145

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.78M

avg $12.3K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$1.62M / $162.3K

net direction

Recent trades

last 145 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 20, 07:59 PM	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.905	$1,420	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:54 PM	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.967	$9,670	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:52 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BUY NO	0.940	$4,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:49 PM	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.967	$9,670	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:45 PM	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	BUY YES	0.890	$7,141	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:42 PM	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.967	$9,670	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:41 PM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BUY NO	0.940	$9,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 04:21 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.994	$49.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 04:19 PM	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY YES	0.879	$7,032	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 03:44 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.980	$10.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 01:46 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.978	$8,992	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 05:04 PM	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,921	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:36 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.975	$14.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:36 PM	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	BUY YES	0.984	$1,198	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:35 PM	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY YES	0.833	$1,981	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:34 PM	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	SELL NO	0.998	$19.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 04:33 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.975	$1,258	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:33 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.975	$45.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:32 PM	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	BUY YES	0.929	$2,134	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:32 PM	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	BUY YES	0.904	$3,541	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:27 PM	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	SELL NO	0.997	$7,880	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 04:26 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.975	$19.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:25 PM	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	SELL NO	0.998	$23.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 04:23 PM	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.955	$6,136	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:21 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.972	$8,058	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 12:09 PM	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY YES	0.793	$6,016	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 06:12 AM	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.895	$19.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 06:11 AM	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	SELL NO	0.935	$9,754	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 06:10 AM	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	BUY NO	0.991	$10.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 06:09 AM	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.896	$8,960	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 06:07 AM	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	SELL NO	0.937	$15.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 05:05 AM	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	BUY NO	0.988	$16.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 05:04 AM	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.909	$8,937	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 05:00 AM	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.937	$8,132	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:58 AM	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY YES	0.820	$4,984	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:58 AM	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.933	$9,149	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:58 AM	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.932	$10.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 06:37 PM	Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	BUY NO	0.969	$3,196	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 28, 06:36 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	SELL NO	0.998	$7,984	— (SELL)
May 28, 12:13 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.973	$6,088	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 12:28 AM	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	BUY YES	0.978	$2,249	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:29 PM	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.989	$1,303	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:28 PM	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	BUY NO	0.973	$7,955	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:26 PM	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.984	$7,564	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:19 PM	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.975	$1,569	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:01 PM	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY YES	0.950	$5,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 06:42 AM	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	BUY NO	0.984	$7,433	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 06:37 AM	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	BUY YES	0.977	$2,203	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 06:33 AM	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	BUY YES	0.940	$3,767	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:01 PM	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.989	$1,146	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 02:53 AM	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.987	$9,870	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 02:53 AM	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.985	$2,053	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 02:53 AM	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.978	$1,123	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 02:48 AM	Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	BUY NO	0.974	$2,066	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:44 AM	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.987	$4,809	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 02:18 AM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.750	$6,945	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 11:58 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	BUY NO	0.986	$9,908	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 06:22 PM	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY YES	0.990	$2,187	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 06:21 PM	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY YES	0.990	$2,063	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 06:21 PM	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY YES	0.987	$3,745	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 06:18 PM	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.982	$1,826	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:38 AM	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	BUY YES	0.990	$9,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:37 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.950	$19.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:34 AM	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.978	$2,368	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:26 PM	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,478	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:26 PM	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	BUY NO	0.988	$10.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:23 PM	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	BUY NO	0.953	$4,227	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:19 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	BUY NO	0.987	$9,870	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:18 PM	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	BUY YES	0.989	$5,460	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:15 PM	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	BUY NO	0.990	$16.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:13 PM	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.987	$23.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 03:13 PM	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.979	$3,427	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:14 PM	Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	BUY NO	0.958	$1,861	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:10 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	BUY NO	0.988	$6,053	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:10 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	BUY NO	0.988	$1,042	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:10 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	BUY NO	0.988	$1,308	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:10 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	BUY NO	0.988	$2,751	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:09 PM	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.979	$6,747	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:09 PM	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.985	$11.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 03:36 PM	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.979	$10.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 03:35 PM	Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	BUY NO	0.974	$2,739	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 03:30 PM	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.960	$5,283	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 06:13 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	BUY NO	0.985	$21.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 06:12 PM	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	BUY YES	0.990	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 01:02 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	BUY NO	0.982	$9,820	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 12:56 AM	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	BUY NO	0.992	$11.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 12:55 AM	Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.979	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 12:54 AM	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.980	$2,094	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 12:54 AM	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY YES	0.790	$13.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 12:54 AM	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.928	$5,228	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 12:53 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.940	$11.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 05:48 PM	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.974	$5,065	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 05:47 PM	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	BUY NO	0.970	$4,078	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 03:55 PM	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY NO	0.979	$6,053	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 03:53 PM	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY YES	0.830	$18.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 11:31 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY YES	0.986	$6,672	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 11:30 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.910	$18.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:56 PM	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	BUY YES	0.927	$10.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:54 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.991	$50.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:51 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY YES	0.991	$12.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 16, 05:50 PM	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY YES	0.988	$27.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:13 AM	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	SELL NO	0.850	$10.7K	— (SELL)
Apr 9, 03:25 AM	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	BUY NO	0.984	$2,886	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 07:44 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY YES	0.994	$22.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 7, 12:06 AM	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	BUY YES	0.996	$100.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 06:28 PM	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	SELL NO	0.891	$17.7K	— (SELL)
Apr 5, 06:25 PM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	SELL NO	0.853	$4,858	— (SELL)
Apr 5, 05:53 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	BUY NO	0.964	$21.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 05:52 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.880	$44.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 05:51 PM	0x773abaa5	SELL NO	0.890	$18.7K	— (SELL)
Apr 5, 05:49 PM	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.985	$8,157	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 05:49 PM	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	BUY YES	0.930	$9,813	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 05:48 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	BUY NO	0.962	$19.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 05:47 PM	0x4c5701bc	SELL NO	0.969	$16.9K	— (SELL)
Apr 5, 05:46 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	BUY NO	0.962	$28.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 05:44 PM	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	BUY YES	0.981	$5,265	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 05:43 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.870	$4,810	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 05:41 PM	0x4c5701bc	SELL NO	0.973	$8,828	— (SELL)
Apr 4, 02:35 PM	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	BUY NO	0.971	$5,728	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 12:50 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	BUY NO	0.965	$4,773	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 12:39 AM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.870	$8,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 12:38 AM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	BUY NO	0.860	$4,897	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 12:28 AM	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	BUY NO	0.972	$6,518	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 12:22 AM	0x773abaa5	BUY NO	0.940	$9,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 08:33 PM	0x773abaa5	BUY NO	0.920	$10.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 02:27 PM	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	BUY YES	0.969	$2,306	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 02:26 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.981	$29.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 02:24 PM	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	BUY YES	0.906	$4,030	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 11:11 PM	0x4c5701bc	BUY NO	0.920	$5,005	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 11:06 PM	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	BUY NO	0.862	$17.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 10:49 PM	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY YES	0.887	$2,678	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 30, 05:15 PM	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	BUY YES	0.969	$25.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 02:42 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.810	$8,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 03:21 AM	0x7cb525e8	BUY NO	0.996	$19.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 03:08 AM	0x2b1435f4	BUY NO	0.994	$1,284	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 03:07 AM	0x2b1435f4	BUY NO	0.995	$33.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 10:11 PM	0x7cb525e8	BUY NO	0.996	$49.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 10:10 PM	Netanyahu out by April 30?	BUY NO	0.963	$2,890	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 07:31 PM	Netanyahu out by April 30?	BUY NO	0.968	$11.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 07:31 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY NO	0.800	$8,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 07:30 PM	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY YES	0.849	$9,624	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 07:29 PM	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	BUY YES	0.826	$1,074	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 07:28 PM	Netanyahu out by April 30?	BUY NO	0.966	$54.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 07:27 PM	0x61ce3773	BUY NO	0.994	$49.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 07:27 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	BUY NO	0.920	$92.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

51 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Other	5	$165.8K	+$165.8K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Other	11	$147.7K	+$147.7K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Other	1	$100.1K	+$100.1K
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	6	$96.2K	+$96.2K
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Politics	8	$91.5K	+$91.5K
0x4c5701bc	—	5	$82.8K	+$31.3K
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	7	$71.4K	+$71.4K
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Other	9	$69.9K	+$54.0K
0x7cb525e8	—	2	$69.7K	+$69.7K
Netanyahu out by April 30?	Other	3	$68.1K	+$68.1K
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Politics	4	$51.7K	+$1,428
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Finance	1	$50.0K	+$50.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Finance	1	$49.7K	+$49.7K
0x61ce3773	—	1	$49.5K	+$49.5K
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	2	$47.6K	$-268
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Other	3	$46.2K	+$46.2K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	3	$41.1K	+$41.1K
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	4	$39.1K	$-374
0x773abaa5	—	3	$38.2K	+$830
0x2b1435f4	—	2	$34.8K	+$34.8K
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Other	2	$34.8K	$-568
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Other	5	$31.5K	+$31.5K
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	2	$31.0K	+$31.0K
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	8	$29.6K	+$13.8K
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	3	$29.0K	+$29.0K
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Other	3	$23.0K	+$1,531
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	5	$21.9K	+$21.9K
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Other	1	$16.0K	+$16.0K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Other	4	$14.6K	+$14.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Tech	2	$14.1K	+$14.1K

Showing top 30 by volume.