| Jul 18, 02:49 AM | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $1,878 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 02:44 AM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $4,133 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 02:39 AM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $13.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 02:39 AM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $66.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 02:32 AM | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $5,054 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 02:30 AM | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY YES | 0.969 | $1,392 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 02:28 AM | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $4,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 11:24 PM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $8,304 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 11:21 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.941 | $14.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 07:59 PM | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.905 | $1,420 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:54 PM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.967 | $9,670 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:52 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $4,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:49 PM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.967 | $9,670 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:45 PM | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.890 | $7,141 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:42 PM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.967 | $9,670 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:41 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $9,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:21 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $49.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:19 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.879 | $7,032 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 03:44 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $10.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 01:46 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $8,992 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 05:04 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $1,921 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:36 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $14.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:36 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $1,198 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:35 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.833 | $1,981 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:34 PM | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $19.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 04:33 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,258 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:33 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $45.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:32 PM | 0xa68b0a77 | BUY YES | 0.929 | $2,134 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:32 PM | 0xa68b0a77 | BUY YES | 0.904 | $3,541 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:27 PM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $7,880 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 04:26 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $19.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:25 PM | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $23.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 04:23 PM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.955 | $6,136 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:21 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $8,058 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 12:09 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.793 | $6,016 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 06:12 AM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.895 | $19.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 06:11 AM | 0xc8559283 | SELL NO | 0.935 | $9,754 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 06:10 AM | 0xc8559283 | BUY NO | 0.991 | $10.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 06:09 AM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.896 | $8,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 06:07 AM | 0xc8559283 | SELL NO | 0.937 | $15.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 05:05 AM | 0xc8559283 | BUY NO | 0.988 | $16.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 05:04 AM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.909 | $8,937 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 05:00 AM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $8,132 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:58 AM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $4,984 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:58 AM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.933 | $9,149 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:58 AM | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.932 | $10.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:37 PM | 0xff7f8250 | BUY NO | 0.969 | $3,196 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 06:36 PM | 0x789c947a | SELL NO | 0.998 | $7,984 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 12:13 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $6,088 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 12:28 AM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY YES | 0.978 | $2,249 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:29 PM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,303 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:28 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $7,955 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:26 PM | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $7,564 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:19 PM | 0x4d1ee0c0 | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,569 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 03:01 PM | 0x99a0fdc1 | BUY YES | 0.950 | $5,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 06:42 AM | 0x80d8661e | BUY NO | 0.984 | $7,433 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 06:37 AM | 0x99067da6 | BUY YES | 0.977 | $2,203 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 06:33 AM | 0x11d4960a | BUY YES | 0.940 | $3,767 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:01 PM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,146 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:53 AM | 0x4d1ee0c0 | BUY NO | 0.987 | $9,870 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:53 AM | 0x4d1ee0c0 | BUY NO | 0.985 | $2,053 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:53 AM | 0x4d1ee0c0 | BUY NO | 0.978 | $1,123 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:48 AM | 0xff7f8250 | BUY NO | 0.974 | $2,066 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 02:44 AM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $4,809 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 02:18 AM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $6,945 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 11:58 PM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.986 | $9,908 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:22 PM | 0x6cf5831f | BUY YES | 0.990 | $2,187 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:21 PM | 0x6cf5831f | BUY YES | 0.990 | $2,063 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:21 PM | 0x6cf5831f | BUY YES | 0.987 | $3,745 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:18 PM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,826 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 03:38 AM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $9,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 03:37 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $19.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 03:34 AM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $2,368 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:26 PM | 0x79e7d16f | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,478 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:26 PM | 0x79e7d16f | BUY NO | 0.988 | $10.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:23 PM | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.953 | $4,227 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:19 PM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.987 | $9,870 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:18 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $5,460 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:15 PM | 0x69487ec6 | BUY NO | 0.990 | $16.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:13 PM | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $23.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:13 PM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $3,427 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 06:14 PM | 0x332e3332 | BUY NO | 0.958 | $1,861 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 06:10 PM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.988 | $6,053 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 06:10 PM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,042 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 06:10 PM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,308 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 06:10 PM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.988 | $2,751 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 06:09 PM | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $6,747 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 06:09 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $11.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 03:36 PM | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $10.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 03:35 PM | 0xff7f8250 | BUY NO | 0.974 | $2,739 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 03:30 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $5,283 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 06:13 PM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.985 | $21.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 06:12 PM | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $50.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 01:02 AM | 0x789c947a | BUY NO | 0.982 | $9,820 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:56 AM | 0xffe381a8 | BUY NO | 0.992 | $11.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:55 AM | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:54 AM | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,094 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:54 AM | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $13.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:54 AM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.928 | $5,228 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 12:53 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $11.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 05:48 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $5,065 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 05:47 PM | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $4,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |