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jaytee158

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa2c9…2c23 with our methodology badges per row.

0xa2c908ce8b8386bc8c5471120c5a662551332c23·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
28
lifetime
PnL per $
+3%
historical realized
Win rate
86.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$216.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 28 resolved trades · 3% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
42
Distinct markets
38
Volume (90d)
$272.1K
avg $6,478 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$271.0K / $1,056
net direction

Recent trades

last 42 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 06:38 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY NO0.740$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:00 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.790$8,682Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:17 AMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.845$8,529Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 06:02 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.750$5,625Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 04:17 PMWill Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.930$3,092Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 07:17 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.828$3,972Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 09:26 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY NO0.730$1,095Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 01:40 AMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.870$3,480Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 11:51 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY NO0.690$7,765Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 01:48 PMWill Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY YES0.700$2,999Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 09:55 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY YES0.870$10.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 07:46 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY YES0.890$9,037Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 10:08 PMWill France win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.890$4,993Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 08:40 PMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?BUY NO0.930$23.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 08:19 PMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?BUY NO0.920$17.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 09:43 PMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?BUY YES0.848$8,459Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 08:00 PMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY NO0.820$7,689Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:52 PMWill England win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.860$8,924Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 06:44 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.890$8,366Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 08:32 PMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.918$7,344Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:55 PMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?BUY NO0.942$1,366Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:08 PMWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?BUY NO0.890$12.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:21 PMWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.900$9,340Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:54 PMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?BUY NO0.900$9,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 01:11 PMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY YES0.876$6,012Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 12:46 PMWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY YES0.780$1,160Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 05:58 PM0xe48b3eafBUY NO0.800$3,647Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 09:34 PMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY NO0.588$7,803—
May 30, 03:41 PM0x5dc96d5bBUY NO0.680$2,143Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 09:02 PM0x6e29e06fBUY YES0.810$2,465Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:56 PM0x6e29e06fBUY YES0.650$1,300Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:55 PM0x6e29e06fBUY YES0.630$1,613Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:51 PM0x9eedeb93BUY YES0.899$11.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:22 PM0x9eedeb93BUY NO0.690$1,424Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:18 PM0xb7257ce1SELL NO0.547$1,056— (SELL)
May 24, 06:49 PM0x43ebec72BUY YES0.810$3,033Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 06:47 PM0xb7257ce1BUY NO0.910$1,471Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 07:36 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?BUY YES0.820$2,523Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 11:40 AM0x9e6f4896BUY NO0.840$4,360Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 08:44 PM0xc48a0ce9BUY YES0.883$16.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 08:29 PM0x4ad8fd3eBUY YES0.940$4,316Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 06:26 PM0xec43c814BUY NO0.780$1,950Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

38 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Other1$23.3K+$23.3K
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Other1$17.3K+$17.3K
0xc48a0ce9—1$16.1K+$16.1K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Other1$15.0K+$15.0K
0x9eedeb93—2$12.6K+$12.6K
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Tech1$12.5K+$12.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Other1$10.8K+$10.8K
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Other1$9,340+$9,340
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Tech1$9,037+$9,037
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Other1$9,000+$9,000
Will England win on 2026-06-27?Other1$8,924+$8,924
Will England win on 2026-07-18?Other1$8,682+$8,682
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Other1$8,529+$8,529
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?Sports1$8,459+$8,459
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Other1$8,366+$8,366
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Sports1$7,803+$7,803
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Other1$7,765+$7,765
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Other1$7,689+$7,689
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Other1$7,344+$7,344
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Other1$6,012+$6,012
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Other1$5,625+$5,625
0x6e29e06f—3$5,379+$5,379
Will France win on 2026-06-30?Other1$4,993+$4,993
0x9e6f4896—1$4,360+$4,360
0x4ad8fd3e—1$4,316+$4,316
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Other1$3,972+$3,972
0xe48b3eaf—1$3,647+$3,647
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Other1$3,480+$3,480
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-11?Other1$3,092+$3,092
0x43ebec72—1$3,033+$3,033

Showing top 30 by volume.