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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa2b4…3daa with our methodology badges per row.

0xa2b417a59a0b189d51921f614c644a7ec1673daa·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
7
lifetime
PnL per $
+6%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$68.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 7 resolved trades · 6% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$127.1K
avg $7,477 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$127.1K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 15, 05:01 PMWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY NO0.970$5,004Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 06:19 AMStarmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY YES0.961$6,647Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 03:48 AMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.963$13.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 11:25 PMWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?BUY YES0.970$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 04:47 PMWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY YES0.812$7,412Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 03:29 AMWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY YES0.823$2,125Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 07:07 PMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.820$5,002Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 06:26 PMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.820$10.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 05:42 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.770$1,001Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 05:40 PMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.810$1,053Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 05:10 PM0x99a0fdc1BUY YES0.950$2,677Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:16 PMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.810$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:15 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.960$4,200Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:14 PM0x789c947aBUY NO0.993$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:09 PMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY NO0.795$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:06 PMWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY YES0.810$7,001Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 05:05 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY NO0.960$28.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

10 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Other2$33.0K+$33.0K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics5$26.1K+$26.1K
0x789c947a—1$15.0K+$15.0K
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$13.0K+$13.0K
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Politics1$10.2K+$10.2K
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics2$9,537+$9,537
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Other1$6,647+$6,647
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics2$6,001+$6,001
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics1$5,004+$5,004
0x99a0fdc1—1$2,677+$2,677