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chinamax
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa2a0…b16b with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
-54%
historical realized
Win rate
33.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$151.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 12 resolved trades · -54% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
12
Distinct markets
6
Volume (90d)
$151.5K
avg $12.6K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$84.3K / $67.1K
net direction
Recent trades
last 12 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 10:44 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $41.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 19, 12:09 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.591 | $24.7K | — |
| Jul 12, 03:29 AM | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.022 | $1,043 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 01:08 AM | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.020 | $3,758 | — |
| Jul 12, 01:06 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.376 | $4,065 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 02:02 PM | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.047 | $6,880 | — |
| Jul 3, 01:18 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.333 | $30.0K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 3, 04:37 AM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.033 | $20.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 02:39 PM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.029 | $1,021 | — |
| Jul 1, 02:39 PM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.031 | $6,279 | — |
| Jul 1, 02:39 PM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.029 | $2,700 | — |
| Jun 30, 11:26 AM | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.016 | $9,024 | — |
Markets active in
6 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 2 | $66.4K | $-17,034 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $34.1K | +$25.9K |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $29.3K | $-11,299 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 3 | $10.0K | +$10.0K |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $6,880 | +$6,880 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $4,801 | +$2,716 |