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senicit
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa25e…6b77 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-18%
historical realized
Win rate
49.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$54.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -18% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$54.8K
avg $9,132 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$41.2K / $13.6K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 11:23 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY YES | 0.430 | $13.0K | — |
| Jul 17, 11:22 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.591 | $13.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 09:00 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.582 | $13.4K | — |
| Jul 15, 07:58 PM | Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY YES | 0.160 | $1,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 2, 11:08 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $7,688 | — |
| Jun 30, 07:46 PM | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $6,123 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 2 | $27.0K | $-207 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Tech | 1 | $13.0K | +$13.0K |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | Other | 1 | $7,688 | +$7,688 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | Other | 1 | $6,123 | +$6,123 |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina? | Other | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |