bijiben3

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa18d…9b51 with our methodology badges per row.

0xa18d2ec785c1fa0b0d12aca986eed3e9cd8d9b51·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-45%

historical realized

Win rate

43.6%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$44.0K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 13 resolved trades · -45% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$65.1K

avg $3,100 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$47.1K / $18.0K

net direction

Recent trades

last 21 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 06:47 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.550	$3,440	—
Jul 19, 06:37 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.550	$13.9K	—
Jul 4, 04:59 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.530	$5,300	—
Jun 11, 08:30 AM	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.993	$2,006	— (SELL)
Jun 10, 12:01 PM	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.993	$2,006	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 11:34 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	SELL NO	0.993	$1,910	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 05:11 PM	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	BUY NO	0.998	$2,395	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 03:12 AM	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.983	$2,583	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 11:02 PM	0x97947fe2	SELL NO	0.997	$2,577	— (SELL)
May 21, 04:17 AM	0x97947fe2	BUY NO	0.998	$2,580	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 11:29 PM	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.950	$2,477	— (SELL)
May 20, 01:51 PM	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,503	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:49 PM	0x97947fe2	SELL NO	0.997	$2,568	— (SELL)
May 20, 08:17 AM	0x97947fe2	BUY NO	0.998	$2,571	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 08:04 AM	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.986	$2,036	— (SELL)
May 20, 03:37 AM	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.988	$2,550	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 11:07 PM	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.987	$1,555	— (SELL)
May 19, 10:44 AM	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.987	$1,453	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:42 AM	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.987	$2,902	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 02:52 AM	0x97947fe2	SELL NO	0.997	$2,909	— (SELL)
May 18, 05:11 PM	0x97947fe2	BUY NO	0.998	$2,912	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

6 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Tech	2	$17.3K	+$17.3K
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Tech	8	$17.1K	+$5,898
0x97947fe2	—	6	$16.1K	+$8
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Other	1	$5,300	+$5,300
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Tech	2	$4,979	+$26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	Crypto	2	$4,305	+$486