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0xA04c42A28bCf85B3085D03d3076eC3248D8B9e3f-1729910715520

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xa04c…9e3f with our methodology badges per row.

0xa04c42a28bcf85b3085d03d3076ec3248d8b9e3f·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
22
lifetime
PnL per $
-10%
historical realized
Win rate
49.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$124.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 22 resolved trades · -10% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
28
Distinct markets
23
Volume (90d)
$185.8K
avg $6,637 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$139.9K / $45.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 28 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 07:13 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.555$20.0K—
Jul 14, 07:52 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY YES0.177$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 01:26 AMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?BUY YES0.216$2,500Cheap band — no rep
Jul 12, 01:16 AMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?BUY YES0.125$2,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 09:22 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.521$13.2K—
Jul 10, 06:21 PMSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.550$9,500—
Jul 2, 11:33 PMPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.456$1,262—
Jul 1, 02:02 AMMexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.429$2,000—
Jun 29, 09:48 PMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.546$15.0K—
Jun 27, 11:35 PMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY YES0.260$5,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 02:40 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.370$5,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 12:28 AMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY YES0.320$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 07:21 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.464$2,000—
Jun 26, 03:19 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.440$4,000—
Jun 26, 02:35 AMWill United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY YES0.230$2,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 07:38 PMEcuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreSELL YES0.550$2,946— (SELL)
Jun 25, 07:33 PMEcuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.560$3,000—
Jun 24, 03:45 AMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?SELL YES0.916$28.4K— (SELL)
Jun 24, 02:53 AMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.580$9,789—
Jun 24, 02:29 AMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY YES0.670$9,490Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:11 PMArgentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.480$3,000—
Jun 22, 03:03 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?SELL YES0.999$14.5K— (SELL)
Jun 22, 01:13 AMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.551$8,000—
Jun 21, 09:25 PMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.710$7,200Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 03:25 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.700$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:44 PMGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.580$5,000—
Jun 20, 05:35 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.200$1,000Cheap band — no rep
May 30, 05:25 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.131$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

23 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Other3$47.7K$-9,166
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Other2$22.5K$-6,508
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$20.0K+$20.0K
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreCrypto1$15.0K+$15.0K
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$13.2K+$13.2K
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$9,500+$9,500
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Other1$7,200+$7,200
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Other2$6,000+$6,000
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreOther2$5,946+$54
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$5,000+$5,000
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$3,000+$3,000
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?Other1$2,500+$2,500
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?Other1$2,500+$2,500
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$2,000+$2,000
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsOther1$2,000+$2,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Tech1$1,500+$1,500
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$1,262+$1,262
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Other1$1,000+$1,000
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Other1$1,000+$1,000