surfandturf

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9f2f…2ca8 with our methodology badges per row.

0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca8·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

134

lifetime

PnL per $

-2%

historical realized

Win rate

63.7%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$9.00M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 134 resolved trades · -2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

193

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$10.56M

avg $54.7K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$9.44M / $1.12M

net direction

Recent trades

last 193 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 11:35 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY NO	0.922	$2,121	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:06 PM	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.920	$4,561	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 05:34 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY YES	0.268	$24.0K	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 17, 02:38 PM	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	BUY NO	0.659	$13.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:28 PM	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	BUY NO	0.658	$6,442	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 10:36 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.899	$2,347	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 11:20 PM	Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY NO	0.978	$3,230	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 11:17 PM	Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Open Championship?	BUY NO	0.970	$18.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 10:20 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.899	$1,286	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:44 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.896	$1,728	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:43 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.906	$18.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:45 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.655	$21.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 07:45 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.520	$21.2K	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 07:43 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.522	$7,987	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 07:26 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.527	$5,135	—
Jul 11, 07:25 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.522	$13.7K	—
Jul 11, 06:50 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.512	$21.4K	—
Jun 30, 08:03 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	SELL YES	0.770	$155.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 08:03 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	SELL YES	0.770	$27.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 08:03 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	SELL YES	0.770	$18.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 07:22 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.770	$149.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 07:18 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.770	$73.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 09:21 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	SELL YES	0.390	$9,752	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 07:06 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.730	$259.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 07:06 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.730	$14.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 04:50 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.550	$53.9K	—
Jun 29, 04:50 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.550	$155.1K	—
Jun 29, 04:36 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.540	$168.0K	—
Jun 28, 04:23 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY NO	0.420	$6,974	—
Jun 28, 04:23 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY NO	0.420	$63.0K	—
Jun 28, 03:18 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	SELL YES	0.580	$112.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:18 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	SELL YES	0.580	$39.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:18 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	SELL YES	0.580	$28.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:18 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	SELL YES	0.580	$10.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 03:01 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.590	$188.8K	—
Jun 28, 03:01 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.590	$100.5K	—
Jun 27, 11:34 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.860	$64.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:31 PM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.540	$7,004	—
Jun 27, 11:29 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.240	$31.3K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 08:08 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.550	$105.7K	—
Jun 27, 08:07 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.550	$37.7K	—
Jun 27, 05:56 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.540	$4,054	—
Jun 27, 05:45 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.160	$9,713	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 05:45 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.160	$6,691	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 05:45 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.160	$11.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 05:23 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.170	$9,968	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 03:04 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.180	$19.1K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 03:04 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.180	$1,247	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 03:04 PM	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.180	$31.0K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 03:00 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.360	$72.0K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 02:49 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.370	$48.4K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 01:45 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.360	$35.6K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 01:45 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.360	$37.8K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 01:45 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.360	$8,876	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 12:01 AM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.570	$9,621	—
Jun 27, 12:00 AM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.570	$142.5K	—
Jun 26, 11:59 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.570	$142.5K	—
Jun 26, 11:23 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	SELL YES	0.580	$19.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 10:56 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.400	$8,177	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 10:56 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.400	$81.3K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 05:00 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.710	$170.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:57 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.690	$73.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:53 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.680	$122.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 04:50 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.670	$163.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 03:01 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.600	$28.0K	—
Jun 26, 03:01 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.600	$48.1K	—
Jun 26, 03:01 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.600	$13.9K	—
Jun 26, 03:01 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.600	$21.4K	—
Jun 25, 10:58 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.311	$1,619	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 10:53 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.301	$30.5K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 10:41 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.299	$65.9K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 10:36 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.297	$1,251	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 10:35 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.299	$107.6K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 10:35 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.294	$91.8K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 10:28 PM	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.291	$21.7K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 25, 06:22 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.616	$49.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:30 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.653	$6,337	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:26 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.644	$7,654	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:21 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.642	$49.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:15 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.642	$1,605	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:13 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.642	$13.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:10 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.631	$14.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:10 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.631	$70.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 03:10 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.999	$223.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 12:49 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.570	$3,762	—
Jun 25, 12:17 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.570	$76.1K	—
Jun 25, 12:05 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.560	$19.6K	—
Jun 25, 12:01 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.560	$78.8K	—
Jun 24, 09:56 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.510	$118.6K	—
Jun 24, 09:56 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.510	$105.4K	—
Jun 24, 09:56 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.510	$138.6K	—
Jun 24, 06:54 PM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.630	$37.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 02:35 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.290	$4,164	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 24, 02:35 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.290	$13.5K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 23, 08:05 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.820	$17.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 08:00 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$84.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 07:59 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$84.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 07:45 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$210.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 07:36 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$210.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 07:31 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$210.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 07:29 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$210.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 04:58 PM	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$45.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 04:55 PM	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$180.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 05:27 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$287.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 05:27 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	BUY YES	0.840	$242.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 03:00 AM	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	SELL YES	0.660	$33.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 02:59 AM	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	SELL YES	0.660	$43.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 02:40 AM	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.650	$384.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 12:54 AM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.660	$16.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 12:31 AM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.330	$25.4K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 08:52 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.910	$1,502	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 07:38 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.910	$35.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 07:38 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.910	$186.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 05:02 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$2,010	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:59 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$6,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:58 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$16.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$34.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$34.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 04:19 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.680	$148.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 09:00 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$3,350	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 09:00 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$129.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 09:00 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$150.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 09:00 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY YES	0.670	$206.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 01:01 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.400	$12.8K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 01:00 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.600	$1,655	—
Jun 22, 01:00 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.610	$244.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 12:59 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.600	$19.7K	—
Jun 22, 12:20 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.390	$24.7K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 12:20 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.390	$53.0K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 12:20 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.390	$113.7K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 12:15 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.230	$81.4K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 22, 12:15 AM	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.230	$22.2K	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 06:37 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.700	$70.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 03:29 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.310	$14.6K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 03:29 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.310	$25.0K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 03:29 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.310	$51.4K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 11:42 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.056	$3,841	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 10:29 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.058	$4,198	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:37 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.054	$4,847	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 07:58 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.660	$5,246	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:29 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.660	$95.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 07:29 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.660	$106.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 07:29 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.660	$55.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 06:46 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$1,360	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:45 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$1,510	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:45 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$40.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:43 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$1,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:42 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$3,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:38 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$74.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:33 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$2,015	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:33 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$176.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:28 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$3,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:27 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.680	$98.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:34 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.670	$83.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 05:34 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.670	$150.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 04:02 PM	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	BUY YES	0.061	$8,180	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 13, 12:14 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	BUY YES	0.580	$21.1K	—
Jun 13, 12:46 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.470	$114.1K	—
Jun 13, 12:43 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.470	$242.1K	—
Jun 12, 11:27 AM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.530	$49.1K	—
Jun 12, 05:37 AM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.530	$73.1K	—
Jun 12, 05:37 AM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	BUY YES	0.530	$2,331	—
Jun 11, 07:00 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	BUY YES	0.110	$2,714	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 7, 03:04 AM	0x739e7561	BUY YES	0.779	$11.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 03:04 AM	0x9eaadf49	BUY NO	0.778	$14.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 03:07 PM	0x40d85bb0	BUY NO	0.872	$1,618	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 08:11 AM	0x40d85bb0	BUY NO	0.868	$7,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:06 PM	0x6e9f90a6	BUY NO	0.480	$4,800	—
May 30, 04:03 PM	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.576	$11.6K	—
May 30, 04:01 PM	0x6e9f90a6	BUY YES	0.540	$2,255	—
May 30, 03:56 PM	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY NO	0.520	$2,421	—
May 30, 12:29 PM	0x6e9f90a6	SELL YES	0.550	$12.3K	— (SELL)
May 21, 12:31 AM	0xe7963b4f	SELL NO	0.999	$7,008	— (SELL)
May 21, 12:31 AM	0x93709d7a	SELL YES	0.999	$8,217	— (SELL)
May 20, 07:00 PM	0x93709d7a	BUY YES	0.780	$3,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:35 PM	0x0f840b13	BUY YES	0.600	$60.0K	—
May 20, 05:18 PM	0x93709d7a	BUY YES	0.750	$1,669	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 05:11 PM	0xe7963b4f	BUY NO	0.746	$5,371	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:35 PM	0xc48a0ce9	BUY YES	0.780	$19.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 06:21 PM	0xc48a0ce9	BUY YES	0.770	$55.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 06:10 PM	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	BUY YES	0.750	$2,230	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 06:09 PM	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	BUY YES	0.750	$26.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 07:03 PM	0xec43c814	BUY YES	0.220	$1,100	Cheap band — no rep
May 10, 07:02 PM	0xec43c814	BUY YES	0.220	$2,200	Cheap band — no rep
May 10, 06:39 PM	0xcc3d6cd4	BUY YES	0.810	$11.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 06:24 PM	0xec43c814	BUY YES	0.230	$11.5K	Cheap band — no rep
May 10, 06:21 PM	0xcc3d6cd4	BUY YES	0.810	$20.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 06:03 PM	0x9df495a4	SELL YES	0.999	$47.4K	— (SELL)
May 10, 05:58 PM	0xec43c814	BUY YES	0.230	$5,416	Cheap band — no rep
May 10, 05:37 PM	0xec43c814	BUY YES	0.230	$5,750	Cheap band — no rep
May 10, 05:36 PM	0xec43c814	BUY YES	0.230	$5,750	Cheap band — no rep
May 10, 03:33 PM	0x4ad8fd3e	BUY YES	0.600	$12.0K	—
May 10, 02:15 PM	0x9df495a4	BUY YES	0.640	$20.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

58 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Other	7	$1.03M	+$1.03M
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	16	$900.4K	+$385.6K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Other	8	$764.0K	+$317.7K
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Other	10	$730.9K	+$730.9K
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Other	8	$641.4K	+$641.4K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Other	8	$550.7K	+$168.0K
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Other	2	$530.0K	+$530.0K
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Other	7	$469.7K	+$469.7K
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Other	3	$461.1K	+$308.4K
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Other	5	$423.5K	+$21.3K
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Tech	6	$403.6K	+$364.6K
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Other	3	$377.0K	+$377.0K
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Other	2	$356.2K	+$356.2K
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	Other	7	$320.2K	+$320.2K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Other	3	$283.5K	+$264.0K
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Other	2	$225.0K	+$225.0K
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Other	3	$223.3K	+$223.3K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Other	8	$212.9K	+$212.9K
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Other	5	$202.7K	+$202.7K
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Other	3	$147.5K	+$147.5K
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Other	3	$124.5K	+$124.5K
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Other	2	$103.6K	+$103.6K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Other	3	$91.0K	+$91.0K
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Other	7	$89.0K	+$13.6K
0xc48a0ce9	—	2	$75.6K	+$75.6K
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Other	1	$70.0K	+$70.0K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Other	5	$69.5K	+$11.0K
0x9df495a4	—	2	$68.3K	$-26,619
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Other	1	$64.3K	+$64.3K
0x0f840b13	—	1	$60.0K	+$60.0K

Showing top 30 by volume.