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hild

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9d3e…eec6 with our methodology badges per row.

0x9d3e4fb265800f911de2026ed4a0ebddce36eec6·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
14
lifetime
PnL per $
+0%
historical realized
Win rate
58.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$79.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · 0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
18
Distinct markets
13
Volume (90d)
$106.9K
avg $5,941 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$75.3K / $31.7K
net direction

Recent trades

last 18 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 17, 01:49 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.960$25.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 01:47 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.415$11.2K— (SELL)
Jul 17, 01:47 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.583$15.2K— (SELL)
Jun 26, 02:48 PMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.058$1,160Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 02:03 AMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.053$1,325Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 03:45 PMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.084$2,100Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 03:45 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.087$2,175Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 03:45 PMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.100$2,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 03:45 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$2,750Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 03:45 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.162$4,050Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 6, 10:08 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.992$7,405Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 10:07 PM0x366f8964BUY NO0.991$13.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 10:21 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.168$4,200Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 1, 03:20 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.445$2,227— (SELL)
Jun 1, 01:38 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.327$1,636Killed band — neutral expectation
May 27, 06:17 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.860$3,612Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 06:12 PM0x416e3cbeSELL NO0.989$3,067— (SELL)
May 26, 03:00 PM0x416e3cbeBUY NO0.980$3,038Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

13 markets · sorted by volume