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Quandal

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9797…c193 with our methodology badges per row.

0x9797d6c41551f8fb64f3829f6d1b861f1c13c193·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
10
lifetime
PnL per $
+142%
historical realized
Win rate
42.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$23.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
17
Distinct markets
15
Volume (90d)
$35.5K
avg $2,091 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$6,000 / $29.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 17 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 07:34 AMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL NO0.820$2,443— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:32 AMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL NO0.830$1,100— (SELL)
Jul 14, 11:27 AMUS charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?SELL NO0.915$2,543— (SELL)
Jul 14, 05:16 AMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL YES0.250$1,000— (SELL)
Jul 11, 11:25 AMWill Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.930$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 12:55 PMWill Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY NO0.953$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:00 AMWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL YES0.610$1,364— (SELL)
Jun 13, 01:00 PMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?SELL NO0.900$1,757— (SELL)
Jun 11, 11:48 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL NO0.942$2,826— (SELL)
Jun 3, 06:10 AM0xa8871eaaSELL YES0.957$1,913— (SELL)
May 28, 05:38 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.910$2,730— (SELL)
May 28, 04:34 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL NO0.994$1,242— (SELL)
May 25, 12:24 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL NO0.840$3,096— (SELL)
May 25, 12:10 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL NO0.908$2,071— (SELL)
May 23, 05:43 PM0x1eeb9106SELL YES0.945$1,890— (SELL)
May 19, 12:41 PM0x12e58193SELL NO0.842$1,684— (SELL)
May 13, 08:33 AMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?SELL NO0.940$1,880— (SELL)

Markets active in

15 markets · sorted by volume