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0x972F38Dfa26A0420d553EDE9A2B492f8788965bD-1773857215703
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x972f…65bd with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
19
lifetime
PnL per $
-11%
historical realized
Win rate
52.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$59.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 19 resolved trades · -11% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
38
Distinct markets
36
Volume (90d)
$100.4K
avg $2,642 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$84.0K / $16.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 38 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 07:23 PM | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.922 | $19.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 05:34 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.313 | $2,082 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 14, 05:26 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY YES | 0.378 | $2,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 12, 12:06 AM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY YES | 0.575 | $1,486 | — |
| Jul 10, 06:54 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY YES | 0.593 | $1,496 | — |
| Jul 9, 07:22 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY YES | 0.615 | $1,573 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 01:31 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $1,440 | — |
| Jul 2, 10:35 PM | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY YES | 0.575 | $1,457 | — |
| Jul 2, 07:34 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 10:58 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY YES | 0.440 | $1,319 | — |
| Jun 30, 12:01 PM | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $2,997 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 11:30 PM | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY YES | 0.410 | $1,491 | — |
| Jun 29, 04:58 PM | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $3,348 | — |
| Jun 28, 04:45 PM | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $3,986 | — |
| Jun 26, 04:47 PM | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY YES | 0.660 | $2,882 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 10:41 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY YES | 0.660 | $2,389 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 01:23 AM | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY YES | 0.640 | $1,877 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 23, 10:57 PM | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,997 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 03:33 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $4,354 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 09:03 PM | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $6,200 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 06:17 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 01:54 AM | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $1,986 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 08:43 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $3,920 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:04 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,448 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 02:17 PM | 0xa9115691 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,686 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 03:06 AM | 0xf079b157 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,045 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 02:33 AM | 0x57065bdb | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,280 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 11:15 PM | 0xaf137b1e | BUY YES | 0.460 | $2,980 | — |
| May 24, 09:06 PM | 0x8016f42b | BUY YES | 0.530 | $1,387 | — |
| May 24, 09:04 PM | 0x248b8738 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,595 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 06:04 PM | 0x248b8738 | BUY YES | 0.770 | $2,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 02:34 AM | 0x41a30254 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,362 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 12:48 AM | 0x42b3ba07 | SELL YES | 0.860 | $1,191 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 10:55 PM | 0x0f840b13 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,414 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 07:54 PM | 0x2a161b2a | BUY YES | 0.490 | $2,000 | — |
| May 11, 01:19 AM | 0xdc8bbb62 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,241 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 05:37 PM | 0x9df495a4 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $3,142 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 03:40 PM | 0x9df495a4 | BUY YES | 0.620 | $1,950 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
36 markets · sorted by volumeShowing top 30 by volume.