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RDESIR

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x9531…9099 with our methodology badges per row.

0x9531648404719924d349dd4911a55a268fc69099·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
13
lifetime
PnL per $
-12%
historical realized
Win rate
65.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$72.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 13 resolved trades · -12% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
15
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$77.5K
avg $5,169 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$43.1K / $34.4K
net direction

Recent trades

last 15 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 11:39 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.938$19.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:02 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.999$10.1K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:57 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.930$9,403— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:12 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.595$10.0K
Jul 19, 07:07 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.418$1,101— (SELL)
Jul 15, 04:00 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.195$2,633— (SELL)
Jul 14, 08:38 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.528$1,800
Jul 14, 12:16 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.684$6,300Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 09:02 AMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.173$2,580— (SELL)
Jul 14, 09:01 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.393$1,901— (SELL)
Jun 11, 09:37 AMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 02:03 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL YES0.188$1,747— (SELL)
Jun 3, 01:54 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.171$2,500Killed band — neutral expectation
May 28, 04:47 PM0x59a37ea3SELL NO0.468$2,254— (SELL)
May 23, 09:17 PM0x828aaec4SELL NO0.979$2,713— (SELL)

Markets active in

7 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Tech4$31.3K$-7,703
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance2$25.8K+$25.8K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$7,401+$3,599
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other3$6,313$-6,313
0x828aaec41$2,713$-2,713
0x59a37ea31$2,254$-2,254
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tech1$1,747$-1,747